NMI Holdings, Inc. Reports First Quarter 2020 Financial Results
Merkle continued, "We are well positioned at National MI to navigate the current environment. Our company was founded in the wake of the 2008 Financial Crisis and our approach in the ensuing years has been directly informed by the lessons of that experience. We are committed to being a credible and sustainable counterparty to our customers and policyholders across all market cycles and, in doing so, aim to help borrowers fully achieve their homeownership goals. We have focused on building a durable franchise in a risk-responsible manner – engaging with our customers in a consultative fashion, actively targeting a higher-quality mix of business, and broadly executing reinsurance and capital markets solutions to mitigate our tail risk under stress scenarios and bolster our funding position. Our conservative stance heading into this period gives us confidence about the strength of our business today."
Concurrent with its release of earnings, the company has filed a Form 8-K with the
Selected highlights from the first quarter 2020 include:
- Primary insurance-in-force at quarter end was
$98.5 billion , up 4% from$94.8 billion at the end of the fourth quarter and up 34% compared to the first quarter of 2019
- New insurance written was
$11.3 billion , down 5% seasonally from$11.9 in the fourth quarter and up 63% compared to$6.9 billion in the first quarter of 2019
- Net premiums earned were
$98.7 million , up 3% compared to$95.5 million for the fourth quarter and up 34% compared to$73.9 million for the first quarter of 2019
- Underwriting and operating expenses were
$32.3 million , including$0.5 million of capital market transaction costs, compared to$31.3 million in the fourth quarter and$30.8 million in the first quarter of 2019
- At quarter-end, cash and investments were
$1.2 billion and shareholders’ equity was$975 million , equal to$14.15 per share
- Annualized return-on-equity for the quarter was 24.5% and annualized adjusted return-on-equity was 22.1%
- At quarter-end, the company reported total PMIERs available assets of
$1,070 million and net risk- based required assets of$912 million
Quarter Ended | Quarter Ended | Quarter Ended | Change (1) | Change (1) | ||||||||||
Q/Q | Y/Y | |||||||||||||
INSURANCE METRICS ($billions) | ||||||||||||||
$ | 98.5 | $ | 94.8 | $ | 73.2 | 4 | % | 34 | % | |||||
New Insurance Written - NIW | ||||||||||||||
Monthly premium | 10.5 | 11.1 | 6.2 | (6 | )% | 68 | % | |||||||
Single premium | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.7 | (3 | )% | 19 | % | |||||||
Total (2) | 11.3 | 11.9 | 6.9 | (5 | )% | 63 | % | |||||||
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS ($millions, except per share amounts) | ||||||||||||||
Net Premiums Earned | 98.7 | 95.5 | 73.9 | 3 | % | 34 | % | |||||||
Insurance Claims and Claim Expenses | 5.7 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 33 | % | 108 | % | |||||||
Underwriting and Operating Expenses (3) | 32.3 | 31.3 | 30.8 | 3 | % | 5 | % | |||||||
Net Income | 58.3 | 50.2 | 32.9 | 16 | % | 77 | % | |||||||
Adjusted Net Income | 52.7 | 52.6 | 38.5 | — | % | 37 | % | |||||||
Cash and Investments | $ | 1,179.9 | $ | 1,182.0 | $ | 980.0 | — | % | 20 | % | ||||
Shareholders' Equity | 974.9 | 930.4 | 751.9 | 5 | % | 30 | % | |||||||
Book Value per Share | $ | 14.15 | $ | 13.61 | $ | 11.14 | 4 | % | 27 | % | ||||
Loss Ratio | 5.8 | % | 4.5 | % | 3.7 | % | ||||||||
Expense Ratio (3) | 32.7 | % | 32.8 | % | 41.7 | % |
(1) Percentages may not be replicated based on the rounded figures presented in the table.
(2) Total may not foot due to rounding.
(3) Certain "Underwriting and operating expenses" have been reclassified as "Service expenses" in prior periods.
Conference Call and Webcast Details
The company will hold a conference call, which will be webcast live,
About
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements contained in this press release or any other written or oral statements made by or on behalf of the Company in connection therewith may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act"), Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), and the
Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
We believe the use of the non-GAAP measures of adjusted income before tax, adjusted net income, adjusted diluted EPS, adjusted return-on-equity, adjusted expense ratio and adjusted combined ratio enhances the comparability of our fundamental financial performance between periods, and provides relevant information to investors. These non-GAAP financial measures align with the way the company's business performance is evaluated by management. These measures are not prepared in accordance with GAAP and should not be viewed as alternatives to GAAP measures of performance. These measures have been presented to increase transparency and enhance the comparability of our fundamental operating trends across periods. Other companies may calculate these measures differently; their measures may not be comparable to those we calculate and present.
Adjusted income before tax is defined as GAAP income before tax, excluding the pre-tax effects of the gain or loss related to the change in fair value of our warrant liability, periodic costs incurred in connection with capital markets transactions, net realized gains or losses from our investment portfolio, and discrete, non-recurring and non-operating items in the periods in which such items are incurred.
Adjusted net income is defined as GAAP net income, excluding the after-tax effects of the gain or loss related to the change in fair value of our warrant liability, periodic costs incurred in connection with capital markets transactions, net realized gains or losses from our investment portfolio, and discrete, non-recurring and non-operating items in the periods in which such items are incurred. Adjustments to components of pre-tax income are tax effected using the applicable federal statutory tax rate for the respective periods.
Adjusted diluted EPS is defined as adjusted net income divided by adjusted weighted average diluted shares outstanding. Adjusted weighted average diluted shares outstanding is defined as weighted average diluted shares outstanding, adjusted for changes in the dilutive effect of non-vested shares that would otherwise have occurred had GAAP net income been calculated in accordance with adjusted net income. There will be no adjustment to weighted average diluted shares outstanding in the periods that non-vested shares are anti-dilutive under GAAP.
Adjusted return-on-equity is calculated by dividing adjusted net income on an annualized basis by the average shareholders' equity for the period.
Adjusted expense ratio is defined as GAAP underwriting and operating expenses, excluding the pre-tax effects of periodic costs incurred in connection with capital markets transactions, divided by net premiums earned.
Adjusted combined ratio is defined as the total of GAAP underwriting and operating expenses, excluding the pre-tax effects of periodic costs incurred in connection with capital markets transactions and insurance claims and claims expenses, divided by net premiums earned.
Although adjusted income before tax, adjusted net income, adjusted diluted EPS, adjusted return-on-equity, adjusted expense ratio and adjusted combined ratio exclude certain items that have occurred in the past and are expected to occur in the future, the excluded items: (1) are not viewed as part of the operating performance of our primary activities; or (2) are impacted by market, economic or regulatory factors and are not necessarily indicative of operating trends, or both. These adjustments, and the reasons for their treatment, are described below.
- Change in fair value of warrant liability. Outstanding warrants at the end of each reporting period are revalued, and any change in fair value is reported in the statement of operations in the period in which the change occurred. The change in fair value of our warrant liability can vary significantly across periods and is influenced principally by equity market and general economic factors that do not impact or reflect our current period operating results. We believe trends in our operating performance can be more clearly identified by excluding fluctuations related to the change in fair value of our warrant liability.
- Capital markets transaction costs. Capital markets transaction costs result from activities that are undertaken to improve our debt profile or enhance our capital position through activities such as debt refinancing and capital markets reinsurance transactions that may vary in their size and timing due to factors such as market opportunities, tax and capital profile, and overall market cycles.
- Net realized investment gains and losses. The recognition of the net realized investment gains or losses can vary significantly across periods as the timing is highly discretionary and is influenced by factors such as market opportunities, tax and capital profile, and overall market cycles that do not reflect our current period operating results.
- Infrequent or unusual non-operating items. Items that are the result of unforeseen or uncommon events, which occur separately from operating earnings and are not expected to recur in the future. Identification and exclusion of these items provides clarity about the impact special or rare occurrences may have on our current financial performance. Past adjustments under this category include the effects of the release of the valuation allowance recorded against our net federal and certain state net deferred tax assets in 2016 and the re-measurement of our net deferred tax assets in connection with tax reform in 2017. We believe such items are non-recurring in nature, are not part of our primary operating activities and do not reflect our current period operating results.
Investor Contact
Vice President, Investor Relations and
john.swenson@nationalmi.com
(510) 788-8417
Press Contact
Strategic Vantage Mortgage Public Relations
(203) 513-2721
MaryMcGarity@StrategicVantage.com
Consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income | For the three months ended |
||||||
2020 | 2019 | ||||||
Revenues | (In Thousands, except for per share data) | ||||||
Net premiums earned | $ | 98,717 | $ | 73,868 | |||
Net investment income | 8,104 | 7,383 | |||||
Net realized investment losses | (72 | ) | (187 | ) | |||
Other revenues | 900 | 42 | |||||
Total revenues | 107,649 | 81,106 | |||||
Expenses | |||||||
Insurance claims and claim expenses | 5,697 | 2,743 | |||||
Underwriting and operating expenses(1) | 32,277 | 30,800 | |||||
Service expenses(1) | 734 | 49 | |||||
Interest expense | 2,744 | 3,061 | |||||
(Gain) loss from change in fair value of warrant liability | (5,959 | ) | 5,479 | ||||
Total expenses | 35,493 | 42,132 | |||||
Income before income taxes | 72,156 | 38,974 | |||||
Income tax expense | 13,885 | 6,075 | |||||
Net income | $ | 58,271 | $ | 32,899 | |||
Earnings per share | |||||||
Basic | $ | 0.85 | $ | 0.49 | |||
Diluted | $ | 0.74 | $ | 0.48 | |||
Weighted average common shares outstanding | |||||||
Basic | 68,563 | 66,692 | |||||
Diluted | 70,401 | 68,996 | |||||
Loss ratio(2) | 5.8 | % | 3.7 | % | |||
Expense ratio(3) | 32.7 | % | 41.7 | % | |||
Combined ratio | 38.5 | % | 45.4 | % | |||
Net income | $ | 58,271 | $ | 32,899 | |||
Other comprehensive (loss) income, net of tax: | |||||||
Unrealized (losses) gains in accumulated other comprehensive income, net of tax (benefit) expense of ( |
(12,881 | ) | 14,868 | ||||
Reclassification adjustment for realized losses included in net income, net of tax (benefit) of ( |
57 | 148 | |||||
Other comprehensive (loss) income, net of tax | (12,824 | ) | 15,016 | ||||
Comprehensive income | $ | 45,447 | $ | 47,915 |
(1) Certain "Underwriting and operating expenses" have been reclassified as "Service expenses" in prior periods.
(2) Loss ratio is calculated by dividing the provision for insurance claims and claim expenses by net premiums earned.
(3) Expense ratio is calculated by dividing other underwriting and operating expenses by net premiums earned.
Consolidated balance sheets | |||||||
Assets | (In Thousands, except for share data) | ||||||
Fixed maturities, available-for-sale, at fair value (amortized cost of |
$ | 1,070,072 | $ | 1,140,940 | |||
Cash and cash equivalents (including restricted cash of |
109,821 | 41,089 | |||||
Premiums receivable | 46,872 | 46,085 | |||||
Accrued investment income | 7,192 | 6,831 | |||||
Prepaid expenses | 4,750 | 3,512 | |||||
Deferred policy acquisition costs, net | 62,634 | 59,972 | |||||
Software and equipment, net | 25,667 | 26,096 | |||||
Intangible assets and goodwill | 3,634 | 3,634 | |||||
Prepaid reinsurance premiums | 13,100 | 15,488 | |||||
Other assets | 44,085 | 21,171 | |||||
Total assets | $ | 1,387,827 | $ | 1,364,818 | |||
Liabilities | |||||||
Term loan | $ | 145,521 | $ | 145,764 | |||
Unearned premiums | 126,908 | 136,642 | |||||
Accounts payable and accrued expenses | 20,745 | 39,904 | |||||
Reserve for insurance claims and claim expenses | 29,479 | 23,752 | |||||
Reinsurance funds withheld | 12,735 | 14,310 | |||||
Warrant liability, at fair value | 1,461 | 7,641 | |||||
Deferred tax liability, net | 66,831 | 56,360 | |||||
Other liabilities | 9,257 | 10,025 | |||||
Total liabilities | 412,937 | 434,398 | |||||
Shareholders' equity | |||||||
Common stock - class A shares, |
689 | 684 | |||||
Additional paid-in capital | 706,021 | 707,003 | |||||
Accumulated other comprehensive income, net of tax | 4,464 | 17,288 | |||||
Retained earnings | 263,716 | 205,445 | |||||
Total shareholders' equity | 974,890 | 930,420 | |||||
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity | $ | 1,387,827 | $ | 1,364,818 |
Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations | ||||||||||||
Quarter ended | Quarter ended | Quarter ended | ||||||||||
As Reported | (In Thousands, except for per share data) | |||||||||||
Revenues | ||||||||||||
Net premiums earned | $ | 98,717 | $ | 95,517 | $ | 73,868 | ||||||
Net investment income | 8,104 | 7,962 | 7,383 | |||||||||
Net realized investment (losses) gains | (72 | ) | 264 | (187 | ) | |||||||
Other revenues | 900 | 1,154 | 42 | |||||||||
Total revenues | 107,649 | 104,897 | 81,106 | |||||||||
Expenses | ||||||||||||
Insurance claims and claim expenses | 5,697 | 4,269 | 2,743 | |||||||||
Underwriting and operating expenses(1) | 32,277 | 31,296 | 30,800 | |||||||||
Service expenses(1) | 734 | 937 | 49 | |||||||||
Interest expense | 2,744 | 2,974 | 3,061 | |||||||||
(Gain) loss from change in fair value of warrant liability | (5,959 | ) | 2,632 | 5,479 | ||||||||
Total expenses | 35,493 | 42,108 | 42,132 | |||||||||
Income before income taxes | 72,156 | 62,789 | 38,974 | |||||||||
Income tax expense | 13,885 | 12,594 | 6,075 | |||||||||
Net income | $ | 58,271 | $ | 50,195 | $ | 32,899 | ||||||
Adjustments: | ||||||||||||
Net realized investment losses (gains) | 72 | (264 | ) | 187 | ||||||||
(Gain) loss from change in fair value of warrant liability | (5,959 | ) | 2,632 | 5,479 | ||||||||
Capital markets transaction costs | 474 | — | — | |||||||||
Adjusted income before taxes | 66,743 | 65,157 | 44,640 | |||||||||
Income tax expense (benefit) on adjustments | 115 | (55 | ) | 39 | ||||||||
Adjusted net income | $ | 52,743 | $ | 52,618 | $ | 38,526 | ||||||
Weighted average diluted shares outstanding | 70,401 | 70,276 | 68,996 | |||||||||
Diluted EPS | $ | 0.74 | (2 | ) | $ | 0.71 | $ | 0.48 | ||||
Adjusted diluted EPS | $ | 0.75 | $ | 0.75 | $ | 0.56 | ||||||
Return-on-equity | 24.5 | % | 22.3 | % | 18.1 | % | ||||||
Adjusted return-on-equity | 22.1 | % | 23.3 | % | 21.2 | % | ||||||
Expense ratio (3) | 32.7 | % | 32.8 | % | 41.7 | % | ||||||
Adjusted expense ratio (4) | 32.2 | % | 32.8 | % | 41.7 | % | ||||||
Combined ratio (5) | 38.5 | % | 37.2 | % | 45.4 | % | ||||||
Adjusted combined ratio (6) | 38.0 | % | 37.2 | % | 45.4 | % |
(1) Certain "Underwriting and operating expenses" have been reclassified as "Service expenses" in prior periods.
(2) Diluted net income for the quarter ended
(3) Expense ratio is calculated by dividing underwriting and operating expenses by net premiums earned.
(4) Adjusted expense ratio is calculated by dividing adjusted underwriting and operating expense (underwriting and operating expenses excluding market transaction costs) by net premiums earned.
(5) Combined ratio is calculated by dividing the total of underwriting and operating expenses and provision for insurance claims and claims expense by net premiums earned.
(6) Adjusted combined ratio is calculated by dividing the total of adjusted underwriting and operating expenses (underwriting and operating expenses excluding market transaction costs) and provision for insurance claims and claims expense by net premiums earned.
Historical Quarterly Data | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Revenues | (In Thousands, except for per share data) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums earned | $ | 98,717 | $ | 95,517 | $ | 92,381 | $ | 83,249 | $ | 73,868 | $ | 69,261 | |||||||||||
Net investment income | 8,104 | 7,962 | 7,882 | 7,629 | 7,383 | 6,952 | |||||||||||||||||
Net realized investment (losses) gains | (72 | ) | 264 | 81 | (113 | ) | (187 | ) | 6 | ||||||||||||||
Other revenues | 900 | 1,154 | 1,244 | 415 | 42 | 40 | |||||||||||||||||
Total revenues | 107,649 | 104,897 | 101,588 | 91,180 | 81,106 | 76,259 | |||||||||||||||||
Expenses | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Insurance claims and claim expenses | 5,697 | 4,269 | 2,572 | 2,923 | 2,743 | 2,141 | |||||||||||||||||
Underwriting and operating expenses(1) | 32,277 | 31,296 | 32,335 | 32,190 | 30,800 | 29,339 | |||||||||||||||||
Service expenses(1) | 734 | 937 | 909 | 353 | 49 | 45 | |||||||||||||||||
Interest expense | 2,744 | 2,974 | 2,979 | 3,071 | 3,061 | 3,028 | |||||||||||||||||
(Gain) loss from change in fair value of warrant liability | (5,959 | ) | 2,632 | (1,139 | ) | 1,685 | 5,479 | (3,538 | ) | ||||||||||||||
Total expenses | 35,493 | 42,108 | 37,656 | 40,222 | 42,132 | 31,015 | |||||||||||||||||
Income before income taxes | 72,156 | 62,789 | 63,932 | 50,958 | 38,974 | 45,244 | |||||||||||||||||
Income tax expense | 13,885 | 12,594 | 14,169 | 11,858 | 6,075 | 9,724 | |||||||||||||||||
Net income | $ | 58,271 | $ | 50,195 | $ | 49,763 | $ | 39,100 | $ | 32,899 | $ | 35,520 | |||||||||||
Earnings per share | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Basic | $ | 0.85 | $ | 0.74 | $ | 0.73 | $ | 0.58 | $ | 0.49 | $ | 0.54 | |||||||||||
Diluted | $ | 0.74 | $ | 0.71 | $ | 0.69 | $ | 0.56 | $ | 0.48 | $ | 0.46 | |||||||||||
Weighted average common shares outstanding | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Basic | 68,563 | 68,140 | 67,849 | 67,590 | 66,692 | 66,308 | |||||||||||||||||
Diluted | 70,401 | 70,276 | 70,137 | 69,590 | 68,996 | 69,013 | |||||||||||||||||
Other data | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss Ratio(2) | 5.8 | % | 4.5 | % | 2.8 | % | 3.5 | % | 3.7 | % | 3.1 | % | |||||||||||
Expense Ratio(3) | 32.7 | % | 32.8 | % | 35.0 | % | 38.7 | % | 41.7 | % | 42.4 | % | |||||||||||
Combined ratio (4) | 38.5 | % | 37.2 | % | 37.8 | % | 42.2 | % | 45.4 | % | 45.5 | % |
(1) Certain "Underwriting and operating expenses" have been reclassified as "Service expenses" in prior periods.
(2) Loss ratio is calculated by dividing the provision for insurance claims and claim expenses by net premiums earned.
(3) Expense ratio is calculated by dividing underwriting and operating expenses by net premiums earned.
(4) Combined ratio may not foot due to rounding.
New Insurance Written (NIW), Insurance in Force (IIF) and Premiums
The tables below present primary NIW and primary and pool IIF, as of the dates and for the periods indicated.
Primary NIW | Three months ended | ||||||||||||||||
(In Millions) | |||||||||||||||||
Monthly | $ | 10,461 | $ | 11,085 | $ | 12,994 | $ | 11,067 | $ | 6,211 | $ | 6,296 | |||||
Single | 836 | 864 | 1,106 | 1,112 | 702 | 666 | |||||||||||
Primary | $ | 11,297 | $ | 11,949 | $ | 14,100 | $ | 12,179 | $ | 6,913 | $ | 6,962 |
Primary and pool IIF | As of | ||||||||||||||||
(In Millions) | |||||||||||||||||
Monthly | $ | 81,347 | $ | 77,097 | $ | 71,814 | $ | 63,922 | $ | 55,995 | $ | 51,655 | |||||
Single | 17,147 | 17,657 | 17,899 | 17,786 | 17,239 | 16,896 | |||||||||||
Primary | 98,494 | 94,754 | 89,713 | 81,708 | 73,234 | 68,551 | |||||||||||
Pool | 2,487 | 2,570 | 2,668 | 2,758 | 2,838 | 2,901 | |||||||||||
Total | $ | 100,981 | $ | 97,324 | $ | 92,381 | $ | 84,466 | $ | 76,072 | $ | 71,452 |
The following table presents the amounts related to the company's quota-share reinsurance transactions (the 2016 QSR Transaction and 2018 QSR Transaction, and collectively, the QSR Transactions), and Insurance-Linked Note transactions (the 2017 ILN Transaction, 2018 ILN Transaction and 2019 ILN Transaction, and collectively, the ILN Transactions) for the periods indicated.
For the three months ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||
The QSR Transactions | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Ceded risk-in-force | $ | 4,843,715 | $ | 5,137,249 | $ | 4,901,809 | $ | 4,558,862 | $ | 4,534,353 | $ | 4,292,450 | |||||||||||
Ceded premiums earned | (23,011 | ) | (23,673 | ) | (23,151 | ) | (20,919 | ) | (21,468 | ) | (20,487 | ) | |||||||||||
Ceded claims and claim expenses | 1,532 | 1,030 | 766 | 770 | 899 | 710 | |||||||||||||||||
Ceding commission earned | 4,513 | 4,691 | 4,584 | 4,171 | 4,206 | 4,084 | |||||||||||||||||
Profit commission | 12,413 | 13,314 | 13,254 | 11,884 | 12,061 | 11,666 | |||||||||||||||||
The ILN Transactions | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Ceded premiums | $ | (3,872 | ) | $ | (4,263 | ) | $ | (4,409 | ) | $ | (2,895 | ) | $ | (3,023 | ) | $ | (3,257 | ) |
Portfolio Statistics
The table below highlights trends in our primary portfolio as of the date and for the periods indicated.
Primary portfolio trends | As of and for the three months ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||
($ Values In Millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
New insurance written | $ | 11,297 | $ | 11,949 | $ | 14,100 | $ | 12,179 | $ | 6,913 | $ | 6,962 | |||||||||||
New risk written | 2,897 | 3,082 | 3,651 | 3,183 | 1,799 | 1,799 | |||||||||||||||||
Insurance in force (IIF) (1) | 98,494 | 94,754 | 89,713 | 81,708 | 73,234 | 68,551 | |||||||||||||||||
Risk in force (1) | 25,192 | 24,173 | 22,810 | 20,661 | 18,373 | 17,091 | |||||||||||||||||
Policies in force (count) (1) | 376,852 | 366,039 | 350,395 | 324,876 | 297,232 | 280,825 | |||||||||||||||||
Average loan size (1) | $ | 0.261 | $ | 0.259 | $ | 0.256 | $ | 0.252 | $ | 0.246 | $ | 0.244 | |||||||||||
Coverage percentage (2) | 25.6 | % | 25.5 | % | 25.4 | % | 25.3 | % | 25.1 | % | 24.9 | % | |||||||||||
Loans in default (count) (1) | 1,449 | 1,448 | 1,230 | 1,028 | 940 | 877 | |||||||||||||||||
Percentage of loans in default (1) | 0.38 | % | 0.40 | % | 0.35 | % | 0.32 | % | 0.32 | % | 0.31 | % | |||||||||||
Risk in force on defaulted loans (1) | $ | 84 | $ | 84 | $ | 70 | $ | 58 | $ | 53 | $ | 48 | |||||||||||
Average premium yield (3) | 0.41 | % | 0.41 | % | 0.43 | % | 0.43 | % | 0.42 | % | 0.42 | % | |||||||||||
Earnings from cancellations | $ | 8.6 | $ | 8.0 | $ | 7.4 | $ | 4.5 | $ | 2.3 | $ | 2.1 | |||||||||||
Annual persistency (4) | 71.7 | % | 76.8 | % | 82.4 | % | 86.0 | % | 87.2 | % | 87.1 | % | |||||||||||
Quarterly run-off (5) | 8.0 | % | 7.7 | % | 7.5 | % | 5.1 | % | 3.3 | % | 3.1 | % |
(1) Reported as of the end of the period.
(2) Calculated as end of period risk-in-force (RIF) divided by end of period IIF.
(3) Calculated as net premiums earned, divided by average primary IIF for the period, annualized.
(4) Defined as the percentage of IIF that remains on our books after a given 12-month period.
(5) Defined as the percentage of IIF that is no longer on our books after a given three month period.
The tables below present our total primary NIW by FICO, loan-to-value (LTV) ratio, and purchase/refinance mix for the periods indicated.
Primary NIW by FICO | For the three months ended | |||||||
($ In Millions) | ||||||||
>= 760 | $ | 6,290 | $ | 6,253 | $ | 3,057 | ||
740-759 | 1,615 | 1,864 | 1,224 | |||||
720-739 | 1,579 | 1,712 | 1,044 | |||||
700-719 | 1,038 | 1,204 | 792 | |||||
680-699 | 565 | 662 | 553 | |||||
<=679 | 210 | 254 | 243 | |||||
Total | $ | 11,297 | $ | 11,949 | $ | 6,913 | ||
Weighted average FICO | 757 | 756 | 749 |
Primary NIW by LTV | For the three months ended | ||||||||||
(In Millions) | |||||||||||
95.01% and above | $ | 721 | $ | 663 | $ | 569 | |||||
90.01% to 95.00% | 5,009 | 5,528 | 3,424 | ||||||||
85.01% to 90.00% | 4,082 | 4,296 | 2,241 | ||||||||
85.00% and below | 1,485 | 1,462 | 679 | ||||||||
Total | $ | 11,297 | $ | 11,949 | $ | 6,913 | |||||
Weighted average LTV | 91.3 | % | 91.4 | % | 92.2 | % |
Primary NIW by purchase/refinance mix | For the three months ended | |||||||
(In Millions) | ||||||||
Purchase | $ | 7,991 | $ | 9,041 | $ | 6,383 | ||
Refinance (1) | 3,306 | 2,908 | 530 | |||||
Total | $ | 11,297 | $ | 11,949 | $ | 6,913 |
(1) The amount of cash-out refinance loans insured in our portfolio was de minimis for the periods presented.
The table below presents a summary of our primary IIF and RIF by book year as of
Primary IIF and RIF | As of |
||||||
IIF | RIF | ||||||
(In Millions) | |||||||
$ | 11,236 | $ | 2,882 | ||||
2019 | 39,485 | 10,259 | |||||
2018 | 17,545 | 4,464 | |||||
2017 | 13,656 | 3,398 | |||||
2016 | 10,962 | 2,763 | |||||
2015 and before | 5,610 | 1,426 | |||||
Total | $ | 98,494 | $ | 25,192 |
The tables below present our total primary IIF and RIF by FICO and LTV and total primary RIF by loan type as of the dates indicated.
Primary IIF by FICO | As of | |||||||
(In Millions) | ||||||||
>= 760 | $ | 47,340 | $ | 44,793 | $ | 33,902 | ||
740-759 | 16,060 | 15,728 | 12,160 | |||||
720-739 | 14,002 | 13,417 | 10,096 | |||||
700-719 | 10,518 | 10,284 | 8,122 | |||||
680-699 | 6,879 | 6,774 | 5,435 | |||||
<=679 | 3,695 | 3,758 | 3,519 | |||||
Total | $ | 98,494 | $ | 94,754 | $ | 73,234 | ||
Weighted average FICO | 751 | 751 | 749 |
Primary RIF by FICO | As of | |||||||
(In Millions) | ||||||||
>= 760 | $ | 12,076 | $ | 11,388 | $ | 8,506 | ||
740-759 | 4,121 | 4,034 | 3,076 | |||||
720-739 | 3,626 | 3,465 | 2,550 | |||||
700-719 | 2,696 | 2,632 | 2,036 | |||||
680-699 | 1,760 | 1,728 | 1,357 | |||||
<=679 (1) | 913 | 926 | 848 | |||||
Total | $ | 25,192 | $ | 24,173 | $ | 18,373 | ||
Weighted average FICO | 751 | 751 | 749 |
(1) There were no loans with a FICO <=620 insured in our portfolio for the periods presented.
Primary IIF by LTV | As of | ||||||||||
(In Millions) | |||||||||||
95.01% and above | $ | 8,838 | $ | 8,640 | $ | 7,204 | |||||
90.01% to 95.00% | 46,318 | 44,668 | 34,024 | ||||||||
85.01% to 90.00% | 31,729 | 30,163 | 22,208 | ||||||||
85.00% and below | 11,609 | 11,283 | 9,798 | ||||||||
Total | $ | 98,494 | $ | 94,754 | $ | 73,234 | |||||
Weighted average LTV | 91.9 | % | 91.9 | % | 91.9 | % |
Primary RIF by LTV | As of | ||||||||||
(In Millions) | |||||||||||
95.01% and above | $ | 2,478 | $ | 2,390 | $ | 1,928 | |||||
90.01% to 95.00% | 13,587 | 13,086 | 9,923 | ||||||||
85.01% to 90.00% | 7,767 | 7,376 | 5,384 | ||||||||
85.00% and below | 1,360 | 1,321 | 1,138 | ||||||||
Total | $ | 25,192 | $ | 24,173 | $ | 18,373 | |||||
Weighted average LTV | 92.7 | % | 92.7 | % | 92.7 | % |
Primary RIF by Loan Type | As of | |||||||
Fixed | 98 | % | 98 | % | 98 | % | ||
Adjustable rate mortgages | ||||||||
Less than five years | — | — | — | |||||
Five years and longer | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||||
Total (1) | 100 | % | 100 | % | 100 | % |
(1) There were no interest-only mortgages insured in our portfolio for the periods presented.
The table below presents a summary of the change in total primary IIF during the periods indicated.
Primary IIF | For the three months ended | ||||||||||
(In Millions) | |||||||||||
IIF, beginning of period | $ | 94,754 | $ | 89,713 | $ | 68,551 | |||||
NIW | 11,297 | 11,949 | 6,913 | ||||||||
Cancellations, principal repayments and other reductions | (7,557 | ) | (6,908 | ) | (2,230 | ) | |||||
IIF, end of period | $ | 98,494 | $ | 94,754 | $ | 73,234 |
Geographic Dispersion
The following table shows the distribution by state of our primary RIF as of the periods indicated.
Top 10 primary RIF by state | As of | |||||||
11.5 | % | 11.8 | % | 12.7 | % | |||
8.2 | 8.2 | 8.3 | ||||||
5.9 | 5.7 | 5.2 | ||||||
5.3 | 5.3 | 5.0 | ||||||
3.8 | 3.8 | 3.4 | ||||||
3.7 | 3.9 | 4.8 | ||||||
3.7 | 3.6 | 3.6 | ||||||
3.6 | 3.4 | 3.4 | ||||||
3.4 | 3.5 | 3.6 | ||||||
3.4 | 3.4 | 3.2 | ||||||
Total | 52.5 | % | 52.6 | % | 53.2 | % |
The table below presents selected primary portfolio statistics, by book year, as of
As of |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Book year | Original Insurance Written | Remaining Insurance in Force | % Remaining of |
Policies Ever in Force | Number of Policies in Force | Number of Loans in Default | # of Claims Paid | Incurred Loss Ratio (Inception to Date) (1) | Cumulative Default Rate (2) | Current default rate (3) | |||||||||||||||||||||
($ Values in Millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2013 | $ | 162 | $ | 20 | 12 | % | 655 | 115 | — | 1 | 0.2 | % | 0.2 | % | — | % | |||||||||||||||
2014 | 3,451 | 747 | 22 | % | 14,786 | 4,081 | 40 | 44 | 4.1 | % | 0.6 | % | 1.0 | % | |||||||||||||||||
2015 | 12,422 | 4,843 | 39 | % | 52,548 | 23,277 | 158 | 97 | 3.0 | % | 0.5 | % | 0.7 | % | |||||||||||||||||
2016 | 21,187 | 10,962 | 52 | % | 83,626 | 47,687 | 254 | 97 | 2.4 | % | 0.4 | % | 0.5 | % | |||||||||||||||||
2017 | 21,582 | 13,656 | 63 | % | 85,897 | 59,356 | 441 | 53 | 3.4 | % | 0.6 | % | 0.7 | % | |||||||||||||||||
2018 | 27,295 | 17,545 | 64 | % | 104,043 | 73,620 | 429 | 24 | 4.6 | % | 0.4 | % | 0.6 | % | |||||||||||||||||
2019 | 45,141 | 39,485 | 87 | % | 148,423 | 133,291 | 127 | — | 2.3 | % | 0.1 | % | 0.1 | % | |||||||||||||||||
2020 | 11,297 | 11,236 | 99 | % | 35,581 | 35,425 | — | — | — | % | — | % | — | % | |||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 142,537 | $ | 98,494 | 525,559 | 376,852 | 1,449 | 316 |
(1) Calculated as total claims incurred (paid and reserved) divided by cumulative premiums earned, net of reinsurance.
(2) Calculated as the sum of the number of claims paid ever to date and number of loans in default divided by policies ever in force.
(3) Calculated as the number of loans in default divided by number of policies in force.
The following table provides a reconciliation of the beginning and ending reserve balances for primary insurance claims and claim expenses:
For the three months ended | |||||||
(In Thousands) | |||||||
Beginning balance | $ | 23,752 | $ | 12,811 | |||
Less reinsurance recoverables (1) | (4,939 | ) | (3,001 | ) | |||
Beginning balance, net of reinsurance recoverables | 18,813 | 9,810 | |||||
Add claims incurred: | |||||||
Claims and claim expenses incurred: | |||||||
Current year (2) | 7,558 | 3,909 | |||||
Prior years (3) | (1,861 | ) | (1,166 | ) | |||
Total claims and claim expenses incurred | 5,697 | 2,743 | |||||
Less claims paid: | |||||||
Claims and claim expenses paid: | |||||||
Current year (2) | — | — | |||||
Prior years (3) | 1,224 | 694 | |||||
Total claims and claim expenses paid | 1,224 | 694 | |||||
Reserve at end of period, net of reinsurance recoverables | 23,286 | 11,859 | |||||
Add reinsurance recoverables (1) | 6,193 | 3,678 | |||||
Ending balance | $ | 29,479 | $ | 15,537 |
(1) Related to ceded losses recoverable under the QSR Transactions, included in "Other assets" on the consolidated balance sheets.
(2) Related to insured loans with their most recent defaults occurring in the current year. For example, if a loan had defaulted in a prior year and subsequently cured and later re-defaulted in the current year, the default would be included in the current year. Amounts are presented net of reinsurance.
(3) Related to insured loans with defaults occurring in prior years, which have been continuously in default before the start of the current year. Amounts are presented net of reinsurance.
The following table provides a reconciliation of the beginning and ending count of loans in default for the periods indicated.
For the three months ended | |||||
Beginning default inventory | 1,448 | 877 | |||
Plus: new defaults | 512 | 574 | |||
Less: cures | (475 | ) | (474 | ) | |
Less: claims paid | (34 | ) | (37 | ) | |
Less: claims denied | (2 | ) | — | ||
Ending default inventory | 1,449 | 940 |
The following table provides details of our claims paid, before giving effect to claims ceded under the QSR Transactions, for the periods indicated.
For the three months ended | |||||||
(In Thousands) | |||||||
Number of claims paid (1) | 34 | 37 | |||||
Total amount paid for claims | $ | 1,503 | $ | 926 | |||
Average amount paid per claim | $ | 44 | $ | 25 | |||
Severity(2) | 83 | % | 64 | % |
(1) Count includes one claims settled without payment for the three months ended
(2) Severity represents the total amount of claims paid including claim expenses divided by the related RIF on the loan at the time the claim is perfected, and is calculated including claims settled without payment.
The following table shows our average reserve per default, before giving effect to reserves ceded under the QSR Transactions, as of the periods indicated.
Average reserve per default: | As of |
As of |
|||||
(In Thousands) | |||||||
Case (1) | $ | 18 | $ | 15 | |||
IBNR (2) | 2 | 2 | |||||
Total | $ | 20 | $ | 17 |
(1) Defined as the gross reserve per insured loan in default.
(2) Amount includes claims adjustment expenses.
The following table provides a comparison of the PMIERs financial requirements as reported by NMIC as of the dates indicated.
As of | |||||||||||
(In Thousands) | |||||||||||
Available Assets | $ | 1,069,695 | $ | 955,554 | $ | 817,758 | |||||
Risk-Based Required Assets | 912,321 | 637,914 | 607,325 |
Source: NMI Holdings Inc