NMI Holdings, Inc. Reports Record Third Quarter 2019 Financial Results
- As of September 30, 2019, the company had primary insurance-in-force of
$89.7 billion , up 10% from$81.7 billion at June 30, 2019 and up 41% compared to$63.5 billion as of September 30, 2018. - Net premiums earned for the quarter were
$92.4 million , up 11% compared to$83.2 million for the second quarter of 2019 and up 41% compared to$65.4 million for the third quarter of 2018. - Total underwriting and operating expenses in the quarter were
$33.2 million , including$1.7 million of fees and expenses related to the Insurance-Linked Notes (ILN) transaction completed onJuly 30 , 2019. This compares with total underwriting and operating expenses of$32.5 million in the second quarter of 2019, which included$0.7 million of fees and expenses related to the recently completed ILN transaction and$30.4 million in the third quarter of 2018, which included$1.9 million of fees and expenses related to an ILN transaction completed inJuly 2018 . - At quarter-end, cash and investments were
$1.1 billion and shareholders’ equity was$873 million , equal to$12.86 per share. - Return-on-equity for the quarter was 23.6% and adjusted return-on-equity was 23.7%.
- At quarter-end, the company had total PMIERs available assets of
$956 million , which compares with risk- based required assets under PMIERs of$638 million .
The non-GAAP measures of adjusted net income, adjusted diluted EPS and adjusted return-on-equity for the quarters presented exclude the after-tax impact of periodic capital markets transaction costs, changes in the fair value of our warrant liability and realized gains or losses from our investment portfolio.
Quarter Ended | Quarter Ended | Quarter Ended | Change (1) | Change (1) | ||||||||||
9/30/2019 | 6/30/2019 | 9/30/2018 | Q/Q | Y/Y | ||||||||||
Primary Insurance-in-Force ($billions) | $ | 89.7 | $ | 81.7 | $ | 63.5 | 10 | % | 41 | % | ||||
New Insurance Written - NIW ($billions) | ||||||||||||||
Monthly premium | 13.0 | 11.1 | 6.7 | 17 | % | 95 | % | |||||||
Single premium | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | (1 | )% | 61 | % | |||||||
Total | 14.1 | 12.2 | 7.4 | 16 | % | 92 | % | |||||||
Net Premiums Earned ($millions) | 92.4 | 83.2 | 65.4 | 11 | % | 41 | % | |||||||
Loss Expense ($millions) | 2.6 | 2.9 | 1.1 | (12 | )% | 134 | % | |||||||
Underwriting & Operating Expense ($millions) | 33.2 | 32.5 | 30.4 | 2 | % | 9 | % | |||||||
Loss Ratio | 2.8 | % | 3.5 | % | 1.7 | % | ||||||||
Expense Ratio | 36.0 | % | 39.1 | % | 46.4 | % | ||||||||
Cash & Investments ($millions) | $ | 1,119.1 | $ | 1,053.3 | $ | 892.6 | 6 | % | 25 | % | ||||
Shareholders' Equity ($millions) | 873.5 | 812.4 | 660.5 | 8 | % | 32 | % | |||||||
Book Value per Share | $ | 12.86 | $ | 11.99 | $ | 9.96 | 7 | % | 29 | % |
(1) Percentages may not be replicated based on the rounded figures presented in the table.
Conference Call and Webcast Details
The company will hold a conference call, which will be webcast live today,
About
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements contained in this press release or any other written or oral statements made by or on behalf of the Company in connection therewith may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (Securities Act), Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (Exchange Act), and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (PSLRA). The PSLRA provides a "safe harbor" for any forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical fact included in or incorporated by reference in this release are forward-looking statements, including any statements about our expectations, outlook, beliefs, plans, predictions, forecasts, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance. These statements are often, but not always, made through the use of words or phrases such as "anticipate," "believe," "can," "could," "may," "predict," "assume," "potential," "should," "will," "estimate," "plan," "project," "continuing," "ongoing," "expect," "intend" and similar words or phrases. All forward-looking statements are only predictions and involve estimates, known and unknown risks, assumptions and uncertainties that may turn out to be inaccurate and could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in them. Many risks and uncertainties are inherent in our industry and markets. Others are more specific to our business and operations. Important factors that could cause actual events or results to differ materially from those indicated in such statements include, but are not limited to: changes in the business practices of
Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
We believe the use of the non-GAAP measures of adjusted income before tax, adjusted net income and adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) enhances the comparability of our fundamental financial performance between periods, and provides relevant information to investors. These non-GAAP financial measures align with the way the company's business performance is evaluated by management. These measures are not prepared in accordance with GAAP and should not be viewed as alternatives to GAAP measures of performance. These measures have been presented to increase transparency and enhance the comparability of our fundamental operating trends across periods. Other companies may calculate these measures differently; their measures may not be comparable to those we calculate and present.
Adjusted income before tax is defined as GAAP income before tax, excluding the pre-tax effects of the gain or loss related to the change in fair value of our warrant liability, periodic costs incurred in connection with capital markets transactions, net realized gains or losses from our investment portfolio, and discrete, non-recurring and non-operating items in the periods in which such items are incurred.
Adjusted net income is defined as GAAP net income, excluding the after-tax effects of the gain or loss related to the change in fair value of our warrant liability, periodic costs incurred in connection with capital markets transactions, net realized gains or losses from our investment portfolio, and discrete, non-recurring and non-operating items in the periods in which such items are incurred. Adjustments to components of pre-tax income are tax effected using the applicable federal statutory tax rate for the respective periods.
Adjusted diluted EPS is defined as adjusted net income divided by adjusted weighted average diluted shares outstanding. Adjusted weighted average diluted shares outstanding is defined as weighted average diluted shares outstanding, adjusted for changes in the dilutive effect of non-vested shares that would otherwise have occurred had GAAP net income been calculated in accordance with adjusted net income. There will be no adjustment to weighted average diluted shares outstanding in the years that non-vested shares are anti-dilutive under GAAP.
Adjusted return-on-equity is calculated by dividing adjusted net income on an annualized basis by the average shareholders’ equity for the period.
Although adjusted income before tax, adjusted net income and adjusted diluted EPS exclude certain items that have occurred in the past and are expected to occur in the future, the excluded items: (1) are not viewed as part of the operating performance of our primary activities; or (2) are impacted by market, economic or regulatory factors and are not necessarily indicative of operating trends, or both. These adjustments, and the reasons for their treatment, are described below.
(1) Change in fair value of warrant liability. Outstanding warrants at the end of each reporting period are revalued, and any change in fair value is reported in the statement of operations in the period in which the change occurred. The change in fair value of our warrant liability can vary significantly across periods and is influenced principally by equity market and general economic factors that do not impact or reflect our current period operating results. We believe trends in our operating performance can be more clearly identified by excluding fluctuations related to the change in fair value of our warrant liability.
(2) Capital markets transaction costs. Capital markets transaction costs result from activities that are undertaken to improve our debt profile or enhance our capital position through activities such as debt refinancing and capital markets reinsurance transactions that may vary in their size and timing due to factors such as market opportunities, tax and capital profile, and overall market cycles.
(3) Net realized investment gains and losses. The recognition of the net realized investment gains or losses can vary significantly across periods as the timing is highly discretionary and is influenced by factors such as market opportunities, tax and capital profile, and overall market cycles that do not reflect our current period operating results.
(4) Infrequent or unusual non-operating items. Items that are the result of unforeseen or uncommon events, which occur separately from operating earnings and are not expected to recur in the future. Identification and exclusion of these items provides clarity about the impact special or rare occurrences may have on our current financial performance. Past adjustments under this category include the effects of the release of the valuation allowance recorded against our net federal and certain state net deferred tax assets in 2016 and the re-measurement of our net deferred tax assets in connection with tax reform in 2017. We believe such items are non-recurring in nature, are not part of our primary operating activities and do not reflect our current period operating results.
Investor Contact
Vice President, Investor Relations and Treasury
john.swenson@nationalmi.com
(510) 788-8417
Press Contact
Strategic Vantage Mortgage Public Relations
(203) 513-2721
MaryMcGarity@StrategicVantage.com
Consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income (loss) | For the three months ended September 30, |
For the nine months ended September 30, |
|||||||||||||
2019 | 2018 | 2019 | 2018 | ||||||||||||
Revenues | (In Thousands, except for per share data) | ||||||||||||||
Net premiums earned | $ | 92,381 | $ | 65,407 | $ | 249,499 | $ | 181,936 | |||||||
Net investment income | 7,882 | 6,277 | 22,894 | 16,586 | |||||||||||
Net realized investment gains (losses) | 81 | (8 | ) | (219 | ) | 51 | |||||||||
Other revenues | 1,244 | 85 | 1,700 | 193 | |||||||||||
Total revenues | 101,588 | 71,761 | 273,874 | 198,766 | |||||||||||
Expenses | |||||||||||||||
Insurance claims and claim expenses | 2,572 | 1,099 | 8,238 | 3,311 | |||||||||||
Underwriting and operating expenses | 33,244 | 30,379 | 96,636 | 87,852 | |||||||||||
Total expenses | 35,816 | 31,478 | 104,874 | 91,163 | |||||||||||
Other expense | |||||||||||||||
Gain (loss) from change in fair value of warrant liability | 1,139 | (5,464 | ) | (6,025 | ) | (4,935 | ) | ||||||||
Interest expense | (2,979 | ) | (2,972 | ) | (9,111 | ) | (11,951 | ) | |||||||
Total other expense | (1,840 | ) | (8,436 | ) | (15,136 | ) | (16,886 | ) | |||||||
Income before income taxes | 63,932 | 31,847 | 153,864 | 90,717 | |||||||||||
Income tax expense | 14,169 | 7,036 | 32,102 | 18,310 | |||||||||||
Net income | $ | 49,763 | $ | 24,811 | $ | 121,762 | $ | 72,407 | |||||||
Earnings per share | |||||||||||||||
Basic | $ | 0.73 | $ | 0.38 | $ | 1.81 | $ | 1.12 | |||||||
Diluted | $ | 0.69 | $ | 0.36 | $ | 1.75 | $ | 1.07 | |||||||
Weighted average common shares outstanding | |||||||||||||||
Basic | 67,849 | 65,948 | 67,381 | 64,584 | |||||||||||
Diluted | 70,137 | 68,844 | 69,520 | 67,512 | |||||||||||
Loss ratio(1) | 2.8 | % | 1.7 | % | 3.3 | % | 1.8 | % | |||||||
Expense ratio(2) | 36.0 | % | 46.4 | % | 38.7 | % | 48.3 | % | |||||||
Combined ratio | 38.8 | % | 48.1 | % | 42.0 | % | 50.1 | % | |||||||
Net income | $ | 49,763 | $ | 24,811 | $ | 121,762 | $ | 72,407 | |||||||
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax: | |||||||||||||||
Unrealized gains (losses) in accumulated other comprehensive income, net of tax expense (benefit) of $1,376 and ($337) for the three months ended September 30, 2019 and 2018, respectively and $8,991 and ($3,676) for the nine months ended September 30, 2019 and 2018, respectively | 5,177 | (1,267 | ) | 33,824 | (13,828 | ) | |||||||||
Reclassification adjustment for realized (gains) losses included in net income, net of tax expense (benefit) of $17 and ($2) for the three months ended September 30, 2019 and 2018, respectively and ($46) and ($27) for the nine months ended September 30, 2019 and 2018, respectively | (64 | ) | 7 | 173 | 102 | ||||||||||
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax | 5,113 | (1,260 | ) | 33,997 | (13,726 | ) | |||||||||
Comprehensive income | $ | 54,876 | $ | 23,551 | $ | 155,759 | $ | 58,681 |
(1) Loss ratio is calculated by dividing the provision for insurance claims and claim expenses by net premiums earned.
(2) Expense ratio is calculated by dividing other underwriting and operating expenses by net premiums earned.
Consolidated balance sheets | September 30, 2019 | December 31, 2018 | |||||
Assets | (In Thousands, except for share data) | ||||||
Fixed maturities, available-for-sale, at fair value (amortized cost of $1,043,639 and $924,987 as of September 30, 2019 and December 31, 2018, respectively) | $ | 1,073,176 | $ | 911,490 | |||
Cash and cash equivalents (including restricted cash of $2,933 and $1,414 as of September 30, 2019 and December 31, 2018, respectively) | 45,889 | 25,294 | |||||
Premiums receivable | 45,730 | 36,007 | |||||
Accrued investment income | 6,885 | 5,694 | |||||
Prepaid expenses | 4,518 | 3,241 | |||||
Deferred policy acquisition costs, net | 56,642 | 46,840 | |||||
Software and equipment, net | 26,303 | 24,765 | |||||
Intangible assets and goodwill | 3,634 | 3,634 | |||||
Prepaid reinsurance premiums | 17,917 | 30,370 | |||||
Other assets | 20,768 | 4,708 | |||||
Total assets | $ | 1,301,462 | $ | 1,092,043 | |||
Liabilities | |||||||
Term loan | $ | 146,007 | $ | 146,757 | |||
Unearned premiums | 145,146 | 158,893 | |||||
Accounts payable and accrued expenses | 39,296 | 31,141 | |||||
Reserve for insurance claims and claim expenses | 20,505 | 12,811 | |||||
Reinsurance funds withheld | 16,072 | 27,114 | |||||
Warrant liability, at fair value | 6,364 | 7,296 | |||||
Deferred tax liability, net | 43,769 | 2,740 | |||||
Other liabilities (1) | 10,816 | 3,791 | |||||
Total liabilities | 427,975 | 390,543 | |||||
Shareholders' equity | |||||||
Common stock - class A shares, $0.01 par value; 67,927,370 and 66,318,849 shares issued and outstanding as of September 30, 2019 and December 31, 2018, respectively (250,000,000 shares authorized) | 679 | 663 | |||||
Additional paid-in capital | 698,393 | 682,181 | |||||
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax | 19,165 | (14,832 | ) | ||||
Retained earnings | 155,250 | 33,488 | |||||
Total shareholders' equity | 873,487 | 701,500 | |||||
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity | $ | 1,301,462 | $ | 1,092,043 |
(1) Deferred Ceding Commissions have been reclassified to "Other liabilities" in prior periods
Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations | |||||||||||
Quarter ended | Quarter ended | Quarter ended | |||||||||
9/30/2019 | 6/30/2019 | 9/30/2018 | |||||||||
As Reported | (In Thousands, except for per share data) | ||||||||||
Revenues | |||||||||||
Net premiums earned | $ | 92,381 | $ | 83,249 | $ | 65,407 | |||||
Net investment income | 7,882 | 7,629 | 6,277 | ||||||||
Net realized investment gains (losses) | 81 | (113 | ) | (8 | ) | ||||||
Other revenues | 1,244 | 415 | 85 | ||||||||
Total revenues | 101,588 | 91,180 | 71,761 | ||||||||
Expenses | |||||||||||
Insurance claims and claim expenses | 2,572 | 2,923 | 1,099 | ||||||||
Underwriting and operating expenses | 33,244 | 32,543 | 30,379 | ||||||||
Total expenses | 35,816 | 35,466 | 31,478 | ||||||||
Other Expense | |||||||||||
Gain (Loss) from change in fair value of warrant liability | 1,139 | (1,685 | ) | (5,464 | ) | ||||||
Interest expense | (2,979 | ) | (3,071 | ) | (2,972 | ) | |||||
Total other expense | (1,840 | ) | (4,756 | ) | (8,436 | ) | |||||
Income before income taxes | 63,932 | 50,958 | 31,847 | ||||||||
Income tax expense | 14,169 | 11,858 | 7,036 | ||||||||
Net income | $ | 49,763 | $ | 39,100 | $ | 24,811 | |||||
Adjustments: | |||||||||||
Net realized investment (gains) losses | (81 | ) | 113 | 8 | |||||||
(Gain) Loss from change in fair value of warrant liability | (1,139 | ) | 1,685 | 5,464 | |||||||
Capital markets transaction costs | 1,689 | 664 | 1,871 | ||||||||
Adjusted income before taxes | 64,401 | 53,420 | 39,190 | ||||||||
Income tax expense on adjustments | 338 | 163 | 395 | ||||||||
Adjusted net income | $ | 49,894 | $ | 41,399 | $ | 31,759 | |||||
Weighted average diluted shares outstanding | 70,137 | 69,590 | 68,844 | ||||||||
Diluted EPS | $ | 0.69 | $ | 0.56 | $ | 0.36 | |||||
Adjusted diluted EPS | $ | 0.71 | $ | 0.59 | $ | 0.46 | |||||
Return-on-equity | 23.6 | % | 20.0 | % | 15.4 | % | |||||
Adjusted return-on-equity | 23.7 | % | 21.2 | % | 19.7 | % | |||||
Historical Quarterly Data | 2019 | 2018 | |||||||||||||||||||||
September 30 | June 30 | March 31 | December 31 | September 30 | June 30 | ||||||||||||||||||
Revenues | (In Thousands, except for per share data) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums earned | $ | 92,381 | $ | 83,249 | $ | 73,868 | $ | 69,261 | $ | 65,407 | $ | 61,615 | |||||||||||
Net investment income | 7,882 | 7,629 | 7,383 | 6,952 | 6,277 | 5,735 | |||||||||||||||||
Net realized investment gains (losses) | 81 | (113 | ) | (187 | ) | 6 | (8 | ) | 59 | ||||||||||||||
Other revenues | 1,244 | 415 | 42 | 40 | 85 | 44 | |||||||||||||||||
Total revenues | 101,588 | 91,180 | 81,106 | 76,259 | 71,761 | 67,453 | |||||||||||||||||
Expenses | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Insurance claims and claim expenses | 2,572 | 2,923 | 2,743 | 2,141 | 1,099 | 643 | |||||||||||||||||
Underwriting and operating expenses | 33,244 | 32,543 | 30,849 | 29,384 | 30,379 | 29,020 | |||||||||||||||||
Total expenses | 35,816 | 35,466 | 33,592 | 31,525 | 31,478 | 29,663 | |||||||||||||||||
Other (expense) income (1) | (1,840 | ) | (4,756 | ) | (8,540 | ) | 510 | (8,436 | ) | (5,451 | ) | ||||||||||||
Income before income taxes | 63,932 | 50,958 | 38,974 | 45,244 | 31,847 | 32,339 | |||||||||||||||||
Income tax expense | 14,169 | 11,858 | 6,075 | 9,724 | 7,036 | 7,098 | |||||||||||||||||
Net income | $ | 49,763 | $ | 39,100 | $ | 32,899 | $ | 35,520 | $ | 24,811 | $ | 25,241 | |||||||||||
Earnings per share | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Basic | $ | 0.73 | $ | 0.56 | $ | 0.49 | $ | 0.54 | $ | 0.38 | $ | 0.38 | |||||||||||
Diluted | $ | 0.69 | $ | 0.59 | $ | 0.48 | $ | 0.46 | $ | 0.36 | $ | 0.37 | |||||||||||
Weighted average common shares outstanding | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Basic | 67,849 | 67,590 | 66,692 | 66,308 | 65,948 | 65,664 | |||||||||||||||||
Diluted | 70,137 | 69,590 | 68,996 | 69,013 | 68,844 | 68,616 | |||||||||||||||||
Other data | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss Ratio (2) | 2.8 | % | 3.5 | % | 3.7 | % | 3.1 | % | 1.7 | % | 1.0 | % | |||||||||||
Expense Ratio (3) | 36.0 | % | 39.1 | % | 41.8 | % | 42.4 | % | 46.4 | % | 47.1 | % | |||||||||||
Combined ratio | 38.8 | % | 42.6 | % | 45.5 | % | 45.5 | % | 48.1 | % | 48.1 | % |
(1) Other (expense) income includes the gain (loss) from change in fair value of warrant liability and interest expense.
(2) Loss ratio is calculated by dividing the provision for insurance claims and claim expenses by net premiums earned.
(3) Expense ratio is calculated by dividing other underwriting and operating expenses by net premiums earned.
New Insurance Written (NIW), Insurance in Force (IIF) and Premiums
The tables below present primary NIW and primary and pool IIF, as of the dates and for the periods indicated.
Primary NIW | Three months ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2019 |
June 30, 2019 | March 31, 2019 | December 31, 2018 |
September 30, 2018 |
June 30, 2018 | ||||||||||||||||||
(In Millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Monthly | $ | 12,994 | $ | 11,067 | $ | 6,211 | $ | 6,296 | $ | 6,675 | $ | 5,711 | |||||||||||
Single | 1,106 | 1,112 | 702 | 666 | 686 | 802 | |||||||||||||||||
Primary | $ | 14,100 | $ | 12,179 | $ | 6,913 | $ | 6,962 | $ | 7,361 | $ | 6,513 |
Primary and pool IIF | As of | ||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2019 |
June 30, 2019 | March 31, 2019 | December 31, 2018 |
September 30, 2018 |
June 30, 2018 | ||||||||||||||||||
(In Millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Monthly | $ | 71,814 | $ | 63,922 | $ | 55,995 | $ | 51,655 | $ | 46,967 | $ | 41,843 | |||||||||||
Single | 17,899 | 17,786 | 17,239 | 16,896 | 16,560 | 16,246 | |||||||||||||||||
Primary | 89,713 | 81,708 | 73,234 | 68,551 | 63,527 | 58,089 | |||||||||||||||||
Pool | 2,668 | 2,758 | 2,838 | 2,901 | 2,974 | 3,064 | |||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 92,381 | $ | 84,466 | $ | 76,072 | $ | 71,452 | $ | 66,501 | $ | 61,153 |
The following table presents the amounts related to the company's quota-share reinsurance transactions (the 2016 QSR Transaction and 2018 QSR Transaction, and collectively, the QSR Transactions), and Insurance-Linked Note transactions (the 2017 ILN Transaction, 2018 ILN Transaction and 2019 ILN Transaction, and collectively, the ILN Transactions) for the periods indicated.
As of and for the three months ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2019 |
June 30, 2019 | March 31, 2019 |
December 31, 2018 |
September 30, 2018 |
June 30, 2018 | ||||||||||||||||||
(In Thousands) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
The QSR Transactions | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Ceded risk-in-force | $ | 4,901,809 | $ | 4,558,862 | $ | 4,534,353 | $ | 4,292,450 | $ | 3,960,461 | $ | 3,606,928 | |||||||||||
Ceded premiums earned | (23,151 | ) | (20,919 | ) | (21,468 | ) | (20,487 | ) | (19,286 | ) | (18,077 | ) | |||||||||||
Ceded claims and claim expenses | 766 | 770 | 899 | 710 | 337 | 173 | |||||||||||||||||
Ceding commission earned | 4,584 | 4,171 | 4,206 | 4,084 | 3,814 | 3,536 | |||||||||||||||||
Profit commission | 13,254 | 11,884 | 12,061 | 11,666 | 11,272 | 10,707 | |||||||||||||||||
The ILN Transactions | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Ceded premiums | $ | (4,409 | ) | $ | (2,895 | ) | $ | (3,023 | ) | $ | (3,257 | ) | $ | (3,093 | ) | $ | (1,623 | ) | |||||
Portfolio Statistics
The table below highlights trends in our primary portfolio as of the date and for the periods indicated.
Primary portfolio trends | As of and for the three months ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2019 |
June 30, 2019 |
March 31, 2019 |
December 31, 2018 |
September 30, 2018 |
June 30, 2018 |
||||||||||||||||||
($ Values In Millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
New insurance written | $ | 14,100 | $ | 12,179 | $ | 6,913 | $ | 6,962 | $ | 7,361 | $ | 6,513 | |||||||||||
New risk written | 3,651 | 3,183 | 1,799 | 1,799 | 1,883 | 1,647 | |||||||||||||||||
Insurance in force (IIF) (1) | 89,713 | 81,708 | 73,234 | 68,551 | 63,527 | 58,089 | |||||||||||||||||
Risk in force (1) | 22,810 | 20,661 | 18,373 | 17,091 | 15,744 | 14,308 | |||||||||||||||||
Policies in force (count) (1) | 350,395 | 324,876 | 297,232 | 280,825 | 262,485 | 241,993 | |||||||||||||||||
Average loan size (1) | $ | 0.256 | $ | 0.252 | $ | 0.246 | $ | 0.244 | $ | 0.242 | $ | 0.240 | |||||||||||
Coverage percentage (2) | 25.4 | % | 25.3 | % | 25.1 | % | 24.9 | % | 24.8 | % | 24.6 | % | |||||||||||
Loans in default (count) (1) | 1,230 | 1,028 | 940 | 877 | 746 | 768 | |||||||||||||||||
Percentage of loans in default (1) | 0.35 | % | 0.32 | % | 0.32 | % | 0.31 | % | 0.28 | % | 0.32 | % | |||||||||||
Risk in force on defaulted loans (1) | $ | 70 | $ | 58 | $ | 53 | $ | 48 | $ | 42 | $ | 43 | |||||||||||
Average premium yield (3) | 0.43 | % | 0.43 | % | 0.42 | % | 0.42 | % | 0.43 | % | 0.44 | % | |||||||||||
Earnings from cancellations | $ | 7.4 | $ | 4.5 | $ | 2.3 | $ | 2.1 | $ | 2.6 | $ | 3.1 | |||||||||||
Annual persistency (4) | 82.4 | % | 86.0 | % | 87.2 | % | 87.1 | % | 86.1 | % | 85.5 | % | |||||||||||
Quarterly run-off (5) | 7.5 | % | 5.1 | % | 3.3 | % | 3.1 | % | 3.3 | % | 3.5 | % |
(1) Reported as of the end of the period.
(2) Calculated as end of period risk in force (RIF) divided by end of period IIF.
(3) Calculated as net premiums earned, divided by average primary IIF for the period, annualized.
(4) Defined as the percentage of IIF that remains on our books after a given 12-month period.
(5) Defined as the percentage of IIF that is no longer on our books after a given three month period.
The tables below present our total primary NIW by FICO, loan-to-value (LTV) ratio, and purchase/refinance mix for the periods indicated.
Primary NIW by FICO | For the three months ended | ||||||||||
September 30, 2019 | June 30, 2019 | September 30, 2018 | |||||||||
($ In Millions) | |||||||||||
>= 760 | $ | 6,994 | $ | 5,627 | $ | 3,191 | |||||
740-759 | 2,288 | 2,165 | 1,228 | ||||||||
720-739 | 2,102 | 1,785 | 1,095 | ||||||||
700-719 | 1,450 | 1,337 | 878 | ||||||||
680-699 | 915 | 891 | 632 | ||||||||
<=679 | 351 | 374 | 337 | ||||||||
Total | $ | 14,100 | $ | 12,179 | $ | 7,361 | |||||
Weighted average FICO | 754 | 751 | 747 |
Primary NIW by LTV | For the three months ended | ||||||||||
September 30, 2019 | June 30, 2019 | September 30, 2018 | |||||||||
(In Millions) | |||||||||||
95.01% and above | $ | 989 | $ | 971 | $ | 676 | |||||
90.01% to 95.00% | 6,592 | 5,931 | 3,553 | ||||||||
85.01% to 90.00% | 4,933 | 4,085 | 2,373 | ||||||||
85.00% and below | 1,586 | 1,192 | 759 | ||||||||
Total | $ | 14,100 | $ | 12,179 | $ | 7,361 | |||||
Weighted average LTV | 91.7 | % | 92.0 | % | 92.5 | % |
Primary NIW by purchase/refinance mix | For the three months ended | ||||||||||
September 30, 2019 | June 30, 2019 | September 30, 2018 | |||||||||
(In Millions) | |||||||||||
Purchase | $ | 11,284 | $ | 10,697 | $ | 7,022 | |||||
Refinance | 2,816 | 1,482 | 339 | ||||||||
Total | $ | 14,100 | $ | 12,179 | $ | 7,361 |
The table below presents a summary of our primary IIF and RIF by book year as of September 30, 2019.
Primary IIF and RIF | As of September 30, 2019 | ||||||
IIF | RIF | ||||||
(In Millions) | |||||||
September 30, 2019 | $ | 31,844 | $ | 8,283 | |||
2018 | 21,932 | 5,571 | |||||
2017 | 16,283 | 4,028 | |||||
2016 | 12,944 | 3,231 | |||||
2015 | 5,792 | 1,464 | |||||
2014 and before | 918 | 233 | |||||
Total | $ | 89,713 | $ | 22,810 |
The tables below present our total primary IIF and RIF by FICO and LTV and total primary RIF by loan type as of the dates indicated.
Primary IIF by FICO | As of | ||||||||||
September 30, 2019 | June 30, 2019 | September 30, 2018 | |||||||||
(In Millions) | |||||||||||
>= 760 | $ | 41,855 | $ | 37,830 | $ | 29,627 | |||||
740-759 | 15,028 | 13,731 | 10,386 | ||||||||
720-739 | 12,666 | 11,388 | 8,566 | ||||||||
700-719 | 9,822 | 9,028 | 7,008 | ||||||||
680-699 | 6,559 | 6,045 | 4,655 | ||||||||
<=679 | 3,783 | 3,686 | 3,285 | ||||||||
Total | $ | 89,713 | $ | 81,708 | $ | 63,527 |
Primary RIF by FICO | As of | ||||||||||
September 30, 2019 | June 30, 2019 | September 30, 2018 | |||||||||
(In Millions) | |||||||||||
>= 760 | $ | 10,611 | $ | 9,551 | $ | 7,361 | |||||
740-759 | 3,847 | 3,499 | 2,592 | ||||||||
720-739 | 3,257 | 2,904 | 2,131 | ||||||||
700-719 | 2,501 | 2,286 | 1,732 | ||||||||
680-699 | 1,665 | 1,524 | 1,145 | ||||||||
<=679 | 929 | 897 | 783 | ||||||||
Total | $ | 22,810 | $ | 20,661 | $ | 15,744 |
Primary IIF by LTV | As of | ||||||||||
September 30, 2019 | June 30, 2019 | September 30, 2018 | |||||||||
(In Millions) | |||||||||||
95.01% and above | $ | 8,500 | $ | 7,925 | $ | 6,309 | |||||
90.01% to 95.00% | 42,255 | 38,371 | 28,879 | ||||||||
85.01% to 90.00% | 28,083 | 25,099 | 19,074 | ||||||||
85.00% and below | 10,875 | 10,313 | 9,265 | ||||||||
Total | $ | 89,713 | $ | 81,708 | $ | 63,527 |
Primary RIF by LTV | As of | ||||||||||
September 30, 2019 | June 30, 2019 | September 30, 2018 | |||||||||
(In Millions) | |||||||||||
95.01% and above | $ | 2,326 | $ | 2,145 | $ | 1,670 | |||||
90.01% to 95.00% | 12,358 | 11,206 | 8,416 | ||||||||
85.01% to 90.00% | 6,854 | 6,108 | 4,590 | ||||||||
85.00% and below | 1,272 | 1,202 | 1,068 | ||||||||
Total | $ | 22,810 | $ | 20,661 | $ | 15,744 |
Primary RIF by Loan Type | As of | |||||||
September 30, 2019 | June 30, 2019 | September 30, 2018 | ||||||
Fixed | 98 | % | 98 | % | 98 | % | ||
Adjustable rate mortgages: | ||||||||
Less than five years | — | — | — | |||||
Five years and longer | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||||
Total | 100 | % | 100 | % | 100 | % |
The table below presents a summary of the change in total primary IIF during the periods indicated.
Primary IIF | For the three months ended | ||||||||||
September 30, 2019 | June 30, 2019 | September 30, 2018 | |||||||||
(In Millions) | |||||||||||
IIF, beginning of period | $ | 81,708 | $ | 73,234 | $ | 58,089 | |||||
NIW | 14,100 | 12,179 | 7,361 | ||||||||
Cancellations, principal repayments and other reductions | (6,095 | ) | (3,705 | ) | (1,923 | ) | |||||
IIF, end of period | $ | 89,713 | $ | 81,708 | $ | 63,527 |
Geographic Dispersion
The following table shows the distribution by state of our primary RIF as of the periods indicated.
Top 10 primary RIF by state | As of | |||||||
September 30, 2019 | June 30, 2019 | September 30, 2018 | ||||||
California | 11.9 | % | 12.3 | % | 13.3 | % | ||
Texas | 8.1 | 8.2 | 8.1 | |||||
Florida | 5.6 | 5.4 | 4.9 | |||||
Virginia | 5.3 | 5.2 | 4.9 | |||||
Arizona | 4.2 | 4.6 | 5.0 | |||||
Illinois | 3.8 | 3.6 | 3.3 | |||||
Pennsylvania | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | |||||
Michigan | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.7 | |||||
Colorado | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | |||||
Maryland | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.2 | |||||
Total | 52.7 | % | 53.1 | % | 53.4 | % |
The table below presents selected primary portfolio statistics, by book year, as of September 30, 2019.
As of September 30, 2019 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Book year | Original Insurance Written |
Remaining Insurance in Force |
% Remaining of Original Insurance |
Policies Ever in Force |
Number of Policies in Force |
Number of Loans in Default |
# of Claims Paid |
Incurred Loss Ratio (Inception to Date) (1) |
Cumulative Default Rate (2) |
Current default rate (3) |
|||||||||||||||||||||
($ Values in Millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2013 | $ | 162 | $ | 25 | 15 | % | 655 | 138 | — | 1 | 0.2 | % | 0.2 | % | — | % | |||||||||||||||
2014 | 3,451 | 893 | 26 | % | 14,786 | 4,758 | 48 | 35 | 3.9 | % | 0.6 | % | 1.0 | % | |||||||||||||||||
2015 | 12,422 | 5,792 | 47 | % | 52,548 | 27,230 | 173 | 82 | 2.8 | % | 0.5 | % | 0.6 | % | |||||||||||||||||
2016 | 21,187 | 12,944 | 61 | % | 83,626 | 55,060 | 246 | 74 | 2.0 | % | 0.4 | % | 0.4 | % | |||||||||||||||||
2017 | 21,582 | 16,283 | 75 | % | 85,897 | 68,744 | 403 | 28 | 3.0 | % | 0.5 | % | 0.6 | % | |||||||||||||||||
2018 | 27,288 | 21,932 | 80 | % | 104,014 | 88,130 | 333 | 8 | 3.7 | % | 0.3 | % | 0.4 | % | |||||||||||||||||
2019 | 33,192 | 31,844 | 96 | % | 109,954 | 106,335 | 27 | — | 0.8 | % | — | % | — | % | |||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 119,284 | $ | 89,713 | 451,480 | 350,395 | 1,230 | 228 |
(1) Calculated as total claims incurred (paid and reserved) divided by cumulative premiums earned, net of reinsurance.
(2) Calculated as the sum of number of claims paid ever to date and number of loans in default divided by policies ever in force.
(3) Calculated as the number of loans in default divided by number of policies in force.
The following table provides a reconciliation of the beginning and ending reserve balances for primary insurance claims and claim expenses:
For the three months ended | For the nine months ended | ||||||||||||||
September 30, 2019 |
September 30, 2018 |
September 30, 2019 |
September 30, 2018 |
||||||||||||
(In Thousands) | |||||||||||||||
Beginning balance | $ | 18,432 | $ | 10,601 | $ | 12,811 | $ | 8,761 | |||||||
Less reinsurance recoverables (1) | (3,775 | ) | (2,382 | ) | (3,001 | ) | (1,902 | ) | |||||||
Beginning balance, net of reinsurance recoverables | 14,657 | 8,219 | 9,810 | 6,859 | |||||||||||
Add claims incurred: | |||||||||||||||
Claims and claim expenses incurred: | |||||||||||||||
Current year (2) | 3,547 | 1,938 | 10,948 | 5,090 | |||||||||||
Prior years (3) | (975 | ) | (839 | ) | (2,710 | ) | (1,779 | ) | |||||||
Total claims and claim expenses incurred | 2,572 | 1,099 | 8,238 | 3,311 | |||||||||||
Less claims paid: | |||||||||||||||
Claims and claim expenses paid: | |||||||||||||||
Current year (2) | — | 37 | — | 37 | |||||||||||
Prior years (3) | 1,033 | 890 | 2,401 | 1,742 | |||||||||||
Reinsurance terminations (4) | — | — | (549 | ) | — | ||||||||||
Total claims and claim expenses paid | 1,033 | 927 | 1,852 | 1,779 | |||||||||||
Reserve at end of period, net of reinsurance recoverables | 16,196 | 8,391 | 16,196 | 8,391 | |||||||||||
Add reinsurance recoverables (1) | 4,309 | 2,517 | 4,309 | 2,517 | |||||||||||
Ending balance | $ | 20,505 | $ | 10,908 | $ | 20,505 | $ | 10,908 |
(1) Related to ceded losses recoverable under the QSR Transactions, included in "Other assets" on the condensed consolidated balance sheets.
(2) Related to insured loans with their most recent defaults occurring in the current year. For example, if a loan had defaulted in a prior year and subsequently cured and later re-defaulted in the current year, that default would be included in the current year. Amounts are presented net of reinsurance.
(3) Related to insured loans with defaults occurring in prior years, which have been continuously in default before the start of the current year. Amounts are presented net of reinsurance.
(4) Represents the settlement of reinsurance recoverables in conjunction with the termination of one reinsurer under the 2016 QSR Transaction on a cut-off basis.
The following table provides a reconciliation of the beginning and ending count of loans in default for the periods indicated.
For the three months ended | For the nine months ended | ||||||||||
September 30, 2019 |
September 30, 2018 |
September 30, 2019 |
September 30, 2018 |
||||||||
Beginning default inventory | 1,028 | 768 | 877 | 928 | |||||||
Plus: new defaults | 718 | 380 | 1,838 | 1,080 | |||||||
Less: cures | (476 | ) | (378 | ) | (1,383 | ) | (1,203 | ) | |||
Less: claims paid | (37 | ) | (24 | ) | (98 | ) | (59 | ) | |||
Less: claims denied | (3 | ) | — | (4 | ) | — | |||||
Ending default inventory | 1,230 | 746 | 1,230 | 746 |
The following table provides details of our claims paid, before giving effect to claims ceded under the QSR Transactions, for the periods indicated.
For the three months ended | For the nine months ended | ||||||||||||||
September 30, 2019 |
September 30, 2018 |
September 30, 2019 |
September 30, 2018 |
||||||||||||
(In Thousands) | |||||||||||||||
Number of claims paid (1) | 37 | 24 | 98 | 59 | |||||||||||
Total amount paid for claims | $ | 1,265 | $ | 1,128 | $ | 2,979 | $ | 2,217 | |||||||
Average amount paid per claim | $ | 34 | $ | 47 | $ | 30 | $ | 38 | |||||||
Severity(2) | 70 | % | 80 | % | 70 | % | 76 | % |
(1) Count includes 8 and 14 claims settled without payment for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2019, respectively, and 1 and 5 claims settled without payment for the three and nine months ended
(2) Severity represents the total amount of claims paid including claim expenses divided by the related RIF on the loan at the time the claim is perfected, and is calculated including claims settled without payment.
The following table shows our average reserve per default, before giving effect to reserves ceded under the QSR Transactions, as of the periods indicated.
Average reserve per default: | As of September 30, 2019 |
As of September 30, 2018 |
|||||
(In Thousands) | |||||||
Case (1) | $ | 15 | $ | 14 | |||
IBNR (2) | 2 | 1 | |||||
Total | $ | 17 | $ | 15 |
(1) Defined as the gross reserve per insured loan in default.
(2) Amount includes claims adjustment expenses.
The following table provides a comparison of the PMIERs financial requirements as reported by NMIC as of the dates indicated.
As of | |||||||||||
September 30, 2019 | June 30, 2019 | September 30, 2018 | |||||||||
(In Thousands) | |||||||||||
Available Assets | $ | 955,554 | $ | 878,550 | $ | 702,020 | |||||
Risk-Based Required Assets | 637,914 | 782,460 | 398,975 |
NMI Holdings Inc