NMI Holdings, Inc. Reports Record Third Quarter 2018 Financial Results
- As of September 30, 2018, the company had primary insurance-in-force of
$63.5 billion , up 9% from$58.1 billion at the prior quarter end and up 47% over$43.3 billion as of September 30, 2017.
- Net premiums earned for the quarter were
$65.4 million , including$2.6 million attributable to cancellation of single premium policies, which compares with$61.6 million , including$3.1 million related to cancellations, in the prior quarter. Net premiums earned in the third quarter of 2018 were up 47% over net premiums earned of$44.5 million in the same quarter a year ago, which included$4.3 million related to cancellations.
- Total underwriting and operating expenses in the third quarter were
$30.4 million , including approximately$1.9 million of fees and expenses related to the recently completed Insurance-Linked Notes transaction. This compares with total underwriting and operating expense of$29.0 million in the prior quarter, which included approximately$0.7 million of fees and expenses related to the issuance of the Insurance-Linked Notes, and$24.6 million in the same quarter a year ago.
- At quarter-end, cash and investments were
$893 million and shareholders’ equity was$660 million , equal to$9.96 per share. Return on equity for the quarter was 15.4% and adjusted return on equity was 19.7%.
- At quarter-end, the company had total PMIERs available assets of
$702 million , which compares with risk-based required assets under PMIERs of$399 million .
Adjusted net income and adjusted net income per diluted share for the quarters presented exclude the impact of periodic capital markets transaction costs, changes in the fair value of our warrant liability and realized gains or losses from our investment portfolio. In the third quarter of 2018, adjusted net income and adjusted net income per diluted share exclude costs of
Quarter Ended | Quarter Ended | Quarter Ended | Change (1) | Change (1) | ||||||||||
9/30/2018 | 6/30/2018 | 9/30/2017 | Q/Q | Y/Y | ||||||||||
Primary Insurance-in-Force ($billions) | $ | 63.5 | $ | 58.1 | $ | 43.3 | 9 | % | 47 | % | ||||
New Insurance Written - NIW ($billions) | ||||||||||||||
Monthly premium | 6.7 | 5.7 | 4.8 | 17 | % | 38 | % | |||||||
Single premium | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 | (14 | )% | (46 | )% | |||||||
Total | 7.4 | 6.5 | 6.1 | 13 | % | 20 | % | |||||||
Premiums Earned ($millions) | 65.4 | 61.6 | 44.5 | 6 | % | 47 | % | |||||||
Underwriting & Operating Expense ($millions) | 30.4 | 29.0 | 24.6 | 5 | % | 23 | % | |||||||
Loss Expense ($millions) | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 71 | % | 15 | % | |||||||
Loss Ratio | 1.7 | % | 1.0 | % | 2.1 | % | ||||||||
Cash & Investments ($millions) | $ | 892.6 | $ | 854.7 | $ | 713.4 | 4 | % | 25 | % | ||||
Book Equity ($millions) | 660.5 | 629.6 | 511.0 | 5 | % | 29 | % | |||||||
Book Value per Share | 9.96 | 9.58 | 8.53 | 4 | % | 17 | % |
(1) Percentages may not be recalculated based on the rounded figures presented in the table.
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Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements contained in this press release or any other written or oral statements made by or on behalf of the Company in connection therewith may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (Securities Act), Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (Exchange Act), and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (PSLRA). The PSLRA provides a "safe harbor" for any forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical fact included in or incorporated by reference in this release are forward-looking statements, including any statements about our expectations, outlook, beliefs, plans, predictions, forecasts, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance. These statements are often, but not always, made through the use of words or phrases such as "anticipate," "believe," "can," "could," "may," "predict," "assume," "potential," "should," "will," "estimate," "plan," "project," "continuing," "ongoing," "expect," "intend" and similar words or phrases. All forward-looking statements are only predictions and involve estimates, known and unknown risks, assumptions and uncertainties that may turn out to be inaccurate and could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in them. Many risks and uncertainties are inherent in our industry and markets. Others are more specific to our business and operations. Important factors that could cause actual events or results to differ materially from those indicated in such statements include, but are not limited to: changes in the business practices of
Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
We believe that use of the non-GAAP measures of adjusted pre-tax income, adjusted net income, adjusted net income per share and adjusted return-on-equity facilitate the evaluation of our fundamental financial performance, thereby providing relevant information to investors. These non-GAAP financial measures align with the way the company's business performance is evaluated by management. These measures are not recognized in accordance with GAAP and should not be viewed as alternatives to GAAP measures of performance. These measures have been established in order to increase transparency for the purposes of evaluating our fundamental operating trends and enabling more meaningful comparisons with our peers.
Adjusted pre-tax income is defined as GAAP income before tax, excluding the effects of the gain or loss related to the change in fair value of our warrant liability, periodic costs incurred in connection with capital markets transactions, net realized gains or losses from our investment portfolio, and discrete, non-recurring and non-operating items in the periods in which such items are incurred.
Adjusted net income is defined as GAAP net income excluding the after-tax effects of the gain or loss related to the change in fair value of our warrant liability, periodic costs incurred in connection with capital markets transactions, net realized gains or losses from our investment portfolio, and discrete, non-recurring and non-operating items in the periods in which such items are incurred. Adjustments to components of pre-tax income are tax effected using the applicable federal statutory tax rate for the respective periods.
Adjusted net income per diluted share is calculated in a manner consistent with the accounting standard regarding earnings per share by dividing (i) adjusted net income by (ii) diluted weighted average common shares outstanding, which includes shares of common stock outstanding and common stock equivalents that would be issuable upon (i) the vesting of service based RSUs and (ii) exercise of vested and unvested stock options and outstanding warrants.
Adjusted return-on-equity is calculated by dividing adjusted net income on an annualized basis by the average shareholders’ equity for the period.
Although adjusted pre-tax income and adjusted net income exclude certain items that have occurred in the past and are expected to occur in the future, the excluded items are: (1) not viewed as part of the operating performance of our primary activities; or (2) impacted by market, economic or regulatory factors and are not necessarily indicative of operating trends, or both. These adjustments, along with the reasons for their treatment, are described below. Trends in the profitability of our fundamental operating activities can be more clearly identified by adjusting for fluctuations in these items. Other companies may calculate these measures differently. Therefore, their measures may not be comparable to those used by us.
- Change in fair value of warrant liability. Outstanding warrants at the end of each reporting period are revalued, and any change in fair value is reported in the statements of operations in the period in which the change occurred. The change in the fair value of our warrant liability can vary significantly across periods and is influenced principally by equity market and general economic factors which may not impact or reflect our current period operating results. Trends in our operating performance can be more clearly identified without the fluctuations of the change in fair value of our warrant liability.
- Capital markets transaction costs. Capital markets transaction costs result from discretionary activities that are undertaken to improve our debt profile or enhance our capital position through activities such as debt refinancing and capital markets reinsurance transactions.
- Net realized investment gains and losses. The recognition of the net realized investment gains or losses can vary significantly across periods as the timing of specific securities sold is highly discretionary and is influenced by factors such as market opportunities, tax and capital profile and overall market cycles.
- Infrequent or unusual non-operating items. Income Statement items occurring separately from operating earnings that are not expected to recur in the future. They are the result of unforeseen or uncommon events. Exclusion of these items provides clarity about the impact of special or rare circumstances on current financial performance. An example is income tax expense adjustments due to a re-measurement of the net deferred tax assets in connection with tax reform, which are non-recurring in nature and are not part of our primary operating activities. We did not adjust for any infrequent or unusual non-operating items to calculate the non-GAAP measures presented in this release.
Investor Contact
Vice President, Investor Relations and Treasury
john.swenson@nationalmi.com
(510) 788-8417
Press Contact
Strategic Vantage Mortgage Public Relations
(203) 513-2721
MaryMcGarity@StrategicVantage.com
Consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income | For the three months ended September 30, | For the nine months ended September 30, | |||||||||||||
2018 | 2017 | 2018 | 2017 | ||||||||||||
Revenues | (In Thousands, except for per share data) | ||||||||||||||
Net premiums earned | $ | 65,407 | $ | 44,519 | $ | 181,936 | $ | 115,661 | |||||||
Net investment income | 6,277 | 4,170 | 16,586 | 11,885 | |||||||||||
Net realized investment (losses) gains | (8 | ) | 69 | 51 | 198 | ||||||||||
Other revenues | 85 | 195 | 193 | 461 | |||||||||||
Total revenues | 71,761 | 48,953 | 198,766 | 128,205 | |||||||||||
Expenses | |||||||||||||||
Insurance claims and claim expenses | 1,099 | 957 | 3,311 | 2,965 | |||||||||||
Underwriting and operating expenses | 30,379 | 24,645 | 87,852 | 78,682 | |||||||||||
Total expenses | 31,478 | 25,602 | 91,163 | 81,647 | |||||||||||
Other expense | |||||||||||||||
Loss from change in fair value of warrant liability | (5,464 | ) | (502 | ) | (4,935 | ) | (679 | ) | |||||||
Interest expense | (2,972 | ) | (3,352 | ) | (11,951 | ) | (10,146 | ) | |||||||
Total other expense | (8,436 | ) | (3,854 | ) | (16,886 | ) | (10,825 | ) | |||||||
Income before income taxes | 31,847 | 19,497 | 90,717 | 35,733 | |||||||||||
Income tax expense | 7,036 | 7,185 | 18,310 | 11,917 | |||||||||||
Net income | $ | 24,811 | $ | 12,312 | $ | 72,407 | $ | 23,816 | |||||||
Earnings per share | |||||||||||||||
Basic | $ | 0.38 | $ | 0.21 | $ | 1.12 | $ | 0.40 | |||||||
Diluted | $ | 0.36 | $ | 0.20 | $ | 1.07 | $ | 0.38 | |||||||
Weighted average common shares outstanding | |||||||||||||||
Basic | 65,948 | 59,884 | 64,584 | 59,680 | |||||||||||
Diluted | 68,844 | 63,089 | 67,512 | 62,773 | |||||||||||
Loss Ratio(1) | 1.7 | % | 2.1 | % | 1.8 | % | 2.6 | % | |||||||
Expense Ratio(2) | 46.4 | % | 55.4 | % | 48.3 | % | 68.0 | % | |||||||
Combined ratio | 48.1 | % | 57.5 | % | 50.1 | % | 70.6 | % | |||||||
Net income | $ | 24,811 | $ | 12,312 | $ | 72,407 | $ | 23,816 | |||||||
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax: | |||||||||||||||
Net unrealized gains (losses) in accumulated other comprehensive income, net of tax (benefit) expense of ($337) and $366 for the three months ended September 30, 2018 and 2017, respectively, and ($3,676) and $2,439 for the nine months ended September 30, 2018 and 2017 | (1,267 | ) | 768 | (13,828 | ) | 4,786 | |||||||||
Reclassification adjustment for realized losses (gains) included in net income, net of tax expense (benefit) of ($2) and $24 for the three months ended September 30, 2018 and 2017, respectively, and ($27) and $69 for the nine months ended September 30, 2018 and 2017 | 7 | (45 | ) | 102 | (129 | ) | |||||||||
Other comprehensive (loss) income, net of tax | (1,260 | ) | 723 | (13,726 | ) | 4,657 | |||||||||
Comprehensive income | $ | 23,551 | $ | 13,035 | $ | 58,681 | $ | 28,473 |
(1) Loss ratio is calculated by dividing the provision for insurance claims and claims expenses by net premiums earned.
(2) Expense ratio is calculated by dividing other underwriting and operating expenses by net premiums earned.
Consolidated balance sheets | September 30, 2018 | December 31, 2017 | |||||
Assets | (In Thousands, except for share data) | ||||||
Fixed maturities, available-for-sale, at fair value (amortized cost of $889,794 and $713,859 as of September 30, 2018 and December 31, 2017, respectively) | $ | 874,435 | $ | 715,875 | |||
Cash and cash equivalents (including restricted cash of $1,406 and $0 as of September 30, 2018 and December 31, 2017, respectively) | 18,187 | 19,196 | |||||
Premiums receivable | 34,675 | 25,179 | |||||
Accrued investment income | 5,881 | 4,212 | |||||
Prepaid expenses | 3,131 | 2,151 | |||||
Deferred policy acquisition costs, net | 44,437 | 37,925 | |||||
Software and equipment, net | 22,887 | 22,802 | |||||
Intangible assets and goodwill | 3,634 | 3,634 | |||||
Prepaid reinsurance premiums | 33,058 | 40,250 | |||||
Deferred tax asset, net | 6,880 | 19,929 | |||||
Other assets | 5,276 | 3,695 | |||||
Total assets | $ | 1,052,481 | $ | 894,848 | |||
Liabilities | |||||||
Term loan | $ | 147,009 | $ | 143,882 | |||
Unearned premiums | 162,893 | 163,166 | |||||
Accounts payable and accrued expenses | 27,134 | 23,364 | |||||
Reserve for insurance claims and claim expenses | 10,908 | 8,761 | |||||
Reinsurance funds withheld | 28,953 | 34,102 | |||||
Deferred ceding commission | 4,161 | 5,024 | |||||
Warrant liability, at fair value | 10,930 | 7,472 | |||||
Total liabilities | 391,988 | 385,771 | |||||
Commitments and contingencies | |||||||
Shareholders' equity | |||||||
Common stock - class A shares, $0.01 par value; 66,285,847 and 60,517,512 shares issued and outstanding as of September 30, 2018 and December 31, 2017, respectively (250,000,000 shares authorized) | 663 | 605 | |||||
Additional paid-in capital | 678,165 | 585,488 | |||||
Accumulated other comprehensive loss, net of tax | (16,303 | ) | (2,859 | ) | |||
Accumulated deficit | (2,032 | ) | (74,157 | ) | |||
Total shareholders' equity | 660,493 | 509,077 | |||||
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity | $ | 1,052,481 | $ | 894,848 |
Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations | |||||||||||
Quarter ended | Quarter ended | Quarter ended | |||||||||
9/30/2018 | 6/30/2018 | 9/30/2017 | |||||||||
As Reported | (In Thousands, except for per share data) | ||||||||||
Revenues | |||||||||||
Net premiums earned | $ | 65,407 | $ | 61,615 | $ | 44,519 | |||||
Net investment income | 6,277 | 5,735 | 4,170 | ||||||||
Net realized investment (losses) gains | (8 | ) | 59 | 69 | |||||||
Other revenues | 85 | 44 | 195 | ||||||||
Total revenues | 71,761 | 67,453 | 48,953 | ||||||||
Expenses | |||||||||||
Insurance claims and claims expenses | 1,099 | 643 | 957 | ||||||||
Underwriting and operating expenses | 30,379 | 29,020 | 24,645 | ||||||||
Total expenses | 31,478 | 29,663 | 25,602 | ||||||||
Other Expense | |||||||||||
(Loss) gain from change in fair value of warrant liability | (5,464 | ) | 109 | (502 | ) | ||||||
Interest expense | (2,972 | ) | (5,560 | ) | (3,352 | ) | |||||
Total other expense | (8,436 | ) | (5,451 | ) | (3,854 | ) | |||||
Income before income taxes | 31,847 | 32,339 | 19,497 | ||||||||
Income tax expense | 7,036 | 7,098 | 7,185 | ||||||||
Net income | $ | 24,811 | $ | 25,241 | $ | 12,312 | |||||
Adjustments: | |||||||||||
Net realized investment losses (gains) | 8 | (59 | ) | (69 | ) | ||||||
Loss (gain) from change in fair value of warrant liability | 5,464 | (109 | ) | 502 | |||||||
Capital markets transaction costs | 1,871 | 2,921 | — | ||||||||
Adjusted income before income taxes | 39,190 | 35,092 | 19,930 | ||||||||
Income tax expense (benefit) on adjustments | 395 | 578 | 152 | ||||||||
Adjusted net income | $ | 31,759 | $ | 27,416 | $ | 12,593 | |||||
Weighted average diluted shares outstanding | 68,844 | 68,616 | 63,089 | ||||||||
Diluted EPS - Reported | $ | 0.36 | $ | 0.37 | $ | 0.20 | |||||
Diluted EPS - Adjusted | $ | 0.46 | $ | 0.40 | $ | 0.20 | |||||
Return on Equity - Reported | 15.4 | % | 16.4 | % | 9.8 | % | |||||
Return on Equity - Adjusted | 19.7 | % | 17.8 | % | 10.0 | % |
Historical Quarterly Data | 2018 | 2017 | |||||||||||||||||||||
September 30 | June 30 | March 31 | December 31 | September 30 | June 30 | ||||||||||||||||||
Revenues | (In Thousands, except for per share data) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums earned | $ | 65,407 | $ | 61,615 | $ | 54,914 | $ | 50,079 | $ | 44,519 | $ | 37,917 | |||||||||||
Net investment income | 6,277 | 5,735 | 4,574 | 4,388 | 4,170 | 3,908 | |||||||||||||||||
Net realized investment (losses) gains | (8 | ) | 59 | — | 9 | 69 | 188 | ||||||||||||||||
Other revenues | 85 | 44 | 64 | 62 | 195 | 185 | |||||||||||||||||
Total revenues | 71,761 | 67,453 | 59,552 | 54,538 | 48,953 | 42,198 | |||||||||||||||||
Expenses | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Insurance claims and claim expenses | 1,099 | 643 | 1,569 | 2,374 | 957 | 1,373 | |||||||||||||||||
Underwriting and operating expenses | 30,379 | 29,020 | 28,453 | 28,297 | 24,645 | 28,048 | |||||||||||||||||
Total expenses | 31,478 | 29,663 | 30,022 | 30,671 | 25,602 | 29,421 | |||||||||||||||||
Other expense (1) | (8,436 | ) | (5,451 | ) | (2,999 | ) | (6,808 | ) | (3,854 | ) | (3,281 | ) | |||||||||||
Income before income taxes | 31,847 | 32,339 | 26,531 | 17,059 | 19,497 | 9,496 | |||||||||||||||||
Income tax expense | 7,036 | 7,098 | 4,176 | 18,825 | 7,185 | 3,484 | |||||||||||||||||
Net income | $ | 24,811 | $ | 25,241 | $ | 22,355 | $ | (1,766 | ) | $ | 12,312 | $ | 6,012 | ||||||||||
Earnings per share | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Basic | $ | 0.38 | $ | 0.38 | $ | 0.36 | $ | (0.03 | ) | $ | 0.21 | $ | 0.10 | ||||||||||
Diluted | $ | 0.36 | $ | 0.37 | $ | 0.34 | $ | (0.03 | ) | $ | 0.20 | $ | 0.10 | ||||||||||
Weighted average common shares outstanding | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Basic | 65,948 | 65,664 | 62,099 | 60,219 | 59,884 | 59,823 | |||||||||||||||||
Diluted | 68,844 | 68,616 | 65,697 | 60,219 | 63,089 | 63,010 | |||||||||||||||||
Other data | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss Ratio (2) | 1.7 | % | 1.0 | % | 2.9 | % | 4.7 | % | 2.1 | % | 3.6 | % | |||||||||||
Expense Ratio (3) | 46.4 | % | 47.1 | % | 51.8 | % | 56.5 | % | 55.4 | % | 74.0 | % | |||||||||||
Combined ratio | 48.1 | % | 48.1 | % | 54.7 | % | 61.2 | % | 57.5 | % | 77.6 | % |
(1) Other expense includes the gain from change in fair value of warrant liability and interest expense.
(2) Loss ratio is calculated by dividing the provision for insurance claims and claims expenses by net premiums earned.
(3) Expense ratio is calculated by dividing other underwriting and operating expenses by net premiums earned.
New Insurance Written (NIW), Insurance in Force (IIF) and Premiums
The tables below present primary NIW and primary and pool IIF, as of the dates and for the periods indicated.
Primary NIW | Three months ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2018 |
June 30, 2018 |
March 31, 2018 |
December 31, 2017 |
September 30, 2017 |
June 30, 2017 |
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(In Millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Monthly | $ | 6,675 | $ | 5,711 | $ | 5,441 | $ | 5,736 | $ | 4,833 | $ | 4,099 | |||||||||||
Single | 686 | 802 | 1,019 | 1,140 | 1,282 | 938 | |||||||||||||||||
Primary | $ | 7,361 | $ | 6,513 | $ | 6,460 | $ | 6,876 | $ | 6,115 | $ | 5,037 |
Primary and pool IIF | As of | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2018 |
June 30, 2018 |
March 31, 2018 |
December 31, 2017 |
September 30, 2017 |
June 30, 2017 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Monthly | $ | 46,967 | $ | 41,843 | $ | 37,574 | $ | 33,268 | $ | 28,707 | $ | 24,865 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Single | 16,560 | 16,246 | 15,860 | 15,197 | 14,552 | 13,764 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Primary | 63,527 | 58,089 | 53,434 | 48,465 | 43,259 | 38,629 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pool | 2,974 | 3,064 | 3,153 | 3,233 | 3,330 | 3,447 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 66,501 | $ | 61,153 | $ | 56,587 | $ | 51,698 | $ | 46,589 | $ | 42,076 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The following table presents the amounts related to the company's quota-share reinsurance transactions (the 2016 QSR Transaction and 2018 QSR Transaction, and collectively, the QSR Transactions) for the periods indicated.
As of and for the three months ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2018 |
June 30, 2018 |
March 31, 2018 |
December 31, 2017 |
September 30, 2017 |
June 30, 2017 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In Thousands) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ceded risk-in-force | $ | 3,960,461 | $ | 3,606,928 | $ | 3,304,335 | $ | 2,983,353 | $ | 2,682,982 | $ | 2,403,027 | |||||||||||||||||
Ceded premiums written | (16,546 | ) | (15,318 | ) | (14,525 | ) | (15,233 | ) | (14,389 | ) | (12,034 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Ceded premiums earned | (19,286 | ) | (18,077 | ) | (16,218 | ) | (14,898 | ) | (13,393 | ) | (11,463 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Ceded claims and claims expenses | 337 | 173 | 543 | 800 | 277 | 342 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Ceding commission written | 3,320 | 3,064 | 2,905 | 3,047 | 2,878 | 2,407 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Ceding commission earned | 3,814 | 3,536 | 3,151 | 2,885 | 2,581 | 2,275 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Profit commission | 11,272 | 10,707 | 9,201 | 8,139 | 7,758 | 6,536 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Portfolio Statistics
The table below highlights trends in our primary portfolio as of the date and for the periods indicated.
Primary portfolio trends | As of and for the three months ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2018 |
June 30, 2018 |
March 31, 2018 |
December 31, 2017 |
September 30, 2017 |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ Values In Millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
New insurance written | $ |
7,361 | $ | 6,513 | $ | 6,460 | $ | 6,876 | $ | 6,115 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
New risk written | 1,883 | 1,647 | 1,580 | 1,665 | 1,496 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Insurance in force (IIF) (1) | 63,527 | 58,089 | 53,434 | 48,465 | 43,259 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Risk in force (1) | 15,744 | 14,308 | 13,085 | 11,843 | 10,572 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Policies in force (count) (1) | 262,485 | 241,993 | 223,263 | 202,351 | 180,089 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Average loan size (1) | $ | 0.242 | $ | 0.240 | $ | 0.239 | $ | 0.240 | $ | 0.240 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Average coverage (2) | 24.8 | % | 24.6 | % | 24.5 | % | 24.4 | % | 24.4 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loans in default (count) | 746 | 768 | 1,000 | 928 | 350 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Percentage of loans in default | 0.3 | % | 0.3 | % | 0.5 | % | 0.5 | % | 0.2 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Risk in force on defaulted loans | $ | 42 | $ | 43 | $ | 57 | $ | 53 | $ | 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Average premium yield (3) | 0.43 | % | 0.44 | % | 0.43 | % | 0.44 | % | 0.43 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Earnings from cancellations | $ | 2.6 | $ | 3.1 | $ | 2.8 | $ | 4.2 | $ | 4.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Annual persistency (4) | 86.1 | % | 85.5 | % | 85.7 | % | 86.1 | % | 85.1 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Quarterly run-off (5) | 3.3 | % | 3.5 | % | 3.1 | % | 3.9 | % | 3.8 | % |
(1) Reported as of the end of the period.
(2) Calculated as end of period risk in force (RIF) divided by IIF.
(3) Calculated as net primary and pool premiums earned, net of reinsurance, divided by average gross primary IIF for the period, annualized.
(4) Defined as the percentage of IIF that remains on our books after any 12-month period.
(5) Defined as the percentage of IIF that are no longer on our books after any 3-month period
The tables below present our total primary NIW by FICO, loan-to-value (LTV) ratio, and purchase/refinance mix for the periods indicated.
Primary NIW by FICO | For the three months ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2018 | June 30, 2018 | September 30, 2017 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
($ In Millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
>= 760 | $ | 3,191 | $ | 2,807 | $ | 2,806 | |||||||||||||||||||
740-759 | 1,228 | 1,129 | 934 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
720-739 | 1,095 | 964 | 807 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
700-719 | 878 | 747 | 697 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
680-699 | 632 | 469 | 456 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
<=679 | 337 | 397 | 415 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 7,361 | $ | 6,513 | $ | 6,115 | |||||||||||||||||||
Weighted average FICO | 747 | 747 | 747 |
Primary NIW by LTV | For the three months ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2018 |
June 30, 2018 | September 30, 2017 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
(In Millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
95.01% and above | $ | 676 | $ | 971 | $ | 722 | |||||||||||||||||||
90.01% to 95.00% | 3,553 | 2,932 | 2,714 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
85.01% to 90.00% | 2,373 | 1,888 | 1,765 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
85.00% and below | 759 | 722 | 914 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 7,361 | $ | 6,513 | $ | 6,115 | |||||||||||||||||||
Weighted average LTV | 92.5 | % | 92.7 | % | 92.3 | % |
Primary NIW by purchase/refinance mix | For the three months ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2018 |
June 30, 2018 | September 30, 2017 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In Millions) |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Purchase | $ | 7,022 | $ | 6,137 | $ | 5,387 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Refinance | 339 | 376 | 728 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 7,361 | $ | 6,513 | $ | 6,115 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
The table below presents a summary of our primary IIF and RIF by book year as of the dates indicated.
Primary IIF and RIF | As of September 30, 2018 | ||||||||||||||
IIF |
RIF | ||||||||||||||
(In Millions) |
|||||||||||||||
September 30, 2018 | $ | 19,804 | $ | 4,980 | |||||||||||
2017 | 19,317 | 4,731 | |||||||||||||
2016 | 16,086 | 3,948 | |||||||||||||
2015 | 7,144 | 1,790 | |||||||||||||
2014 | 1,145 | 288 | |||||||||||||
2013 | 31 | 7 | |||||||||||||
Total | $ | 63,527 | $ | 15,744 | |||||||||||
The tables below present our total primary IIF and RIF by FICO and LTV and total primary RIF by loan type as of the dates indicated.
Primary IIF by FICO | As of | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2018 | June 30, 2018 | September 30, 2017 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
(In Millions) |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
>= 760 | $ | 29,627 | $ | 27,311 | $ | 21,329 | |||||||||||||||||||
740-759 | 10,386 | 9,460 | 6,983 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
720-739 | 8,566 | 7,722 | 5,547 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
700-719 | 7,008 | 6,355 | 4,505 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
680-699 | 4,655 | 4,174 | 2,942 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
<=679 | 3,285 | 3,067 | 1,953 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 63,527 | $ | 58,089 | $ | 43,259 |
Primary RIF by FICO | As of | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2018 | June 30, 2018 | September 30, 2017 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
(In Millions) |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
>= 760 | $ | 7,361 | $ | 6,758 | $ | 5,251 | |||||||||||||||||||
740-759 | 2,592 | 2,344 | 1,713 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
720-739 | 2,131 | 1,905 | 1,349 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
700-719 | 1,732 | 1,558 | 1,092 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
680-699 | 1,145 | 1,016 | 707 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
<=679 | 783 | 727 | 460 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 15,744 | $ | 14,308 | $ | 10,572 |
Primary IIF by LTV | As of | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2018 | June 30, 2018 | September 30, 2017 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
(In Millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
95.01% and above | $ | 6,309 | $ | 5,747 | $ | 3,038 | |||||||||||||||||||
90.01% to 95.00% | 28,879 | 26,119 | 19,562 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
85.01% to 90.00% | 19,074 | 17,319 | 13,437 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
85.00% and below | 9,265 | 8,904 | 7,222 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 63,527 | $ | 58,089 | $ | 43,259 |
Primary RIF by LTV | As of | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2018 | June 30, 2018 | September 30, 2017 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
(In Millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
95.01% and above | $ | 1,670 | $ | 1,522 | $ | 822 | |||||||||||||||||||
90.01% to 95.00% | 8,416 | 7,610 | 5,722 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
85.01% to 90.00% | 4,590 | 4,154 | 3,205 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
85.00% and below | 1,068 | 1,022 | 823 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 15,744 | $ | 14,308 | $ | 10,572 |
Primary RIF by Loan Type | As of | ||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2018 | June 30, 2018 | September 30, 2017 | |||||||||||||||
Fixed | 98 | % | 98 | % | 98 | % | |||||||||||
Adjustable rate mortgages: | |||||||||||||||||
Less than five years | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
Five years and longer | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||||||||||||||
Total | 100 | % | 100 | % | 100 | % | |||||||||||
The table below presents a summary of the change in total primary IIF during the periods indicated.
Primary IIF | For the three months ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2018 | June 30, 2018 | September 30, 2017 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
(In Millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
IIF, beginning of period | $ | 58,089 | $ | 53,434 | $ | 38,629 | |||||||||||||||||||
NIW | 7,361 | 6,513 | 6,115 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Cancellations and other reductions | (1,923 | ) | (1,858 | ) | (1,485 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||
IIF, end of period | $ | 63,527 | $ | 58,089 | $ | 43,259 | |||||||||||||||||||
Geographic Dispersion
The following table shows the distribution by state of our primary RIF as of the periods indicated.
Top 10 primary RIF by state | As of | ||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2018 | June 30, 2018 | September 30, 2017 | |||||||||||||||
California | 13.3 | % | 13.4 | % | 13.6 | % | |||||||||||
Texas | 8.1 | 8.0 | 7.6 | ||||||||||||||
Arizona | 5.0 | 5.0 | 4.4 | ||||||||||||||
Florida | 4.9 | 4.7 | 4.3 | ||||||||||||||
Virginia | 4.9 | 5.0 | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||
Michigan | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.7 | ||||||||||||||
Pennsylvania | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | ||||||||||||||
Colorado | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.8 | ||||||||||||||
Illinois | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.4 | ||||||||||||||
Utah | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.6 | ||||||||||||||
Total | 53.4 | % | 53.5 | % | 53.6 | % | |||||||||||
The following table shows portfolio data by book year, as of
As of September 30, 2018 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Book year | Original Insurance Written |
Remaining Insurance in Force |
% Remaining of Original Insurance |
Policies Ever in Force |
Number of Policies in Force |
Number of Loans in Default | # of Claims Paid | Incurred Loss Ratio (Inception to Date) (1) |
Cumulative default rate (2) |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ Values in Millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2013 | $ | 162 | $ | 31 | 19 | % | 655 | 166 | — | 1 | 0.2 | % | 0.2 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
2014 | 3,451 | 1,145 | 33 | % | 14,786 | 5,944 | 53 | 23 | 3.6 | % | 0.5 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||
2015 | 12,422 | 7,144 | 58 | % | 52,548 | 33,093 | 197 | 47 | 2.9 | % | 0.5 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||
2016 | 21,187 | 16,086 | 76 | % | 83,626 | 66,849 | 248 | 25 | 2.0 | % | 0.3 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||
2017 | 21,582 | 19,317 | 90 | % | 85,897 | 79,147 | 215 | 2 | 2.3 | % | 0.3 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||
2018 | 20,334 | 19,804 | 97 | % | 78,829 | 77,286 | 33 | — | 0.8 | % | — | % | |||||||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 79,138 | $ | 63,527 | 316,341 | 262,485 | 746 | 98 |
(1) The ratio of claims incurred (paid and reserved) divided by cumulative premiums earned, net of reinsurance.
(2) The sum of claims paid ever to date and notices of default as of the end of the period divided by policies ever in force.
The following table provides a reconciliation of the beginning and ending reserve balances for primary insurance claims and claims expenses:
For the three months ended | For the nine months ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2018 | September 30, 2017 | September 30, 2018 | September 30, 2017 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In Thousands) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Beginning balance | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
$ | $ |
10,601 | $ | 5,048 | $ | 8,76 | $ | 3,001 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Less reinsurance recoverables (1) | (2,382 | ) | (899 | ) | (1,902 | ) | (297 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Beginning balance, net of reinsurance recoverables | 8,219 | 4,149 | 6,859 | 2,704 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Add claims incurred: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Claims and claim expenses incurred: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current year (2) | 1,938 | 1,215 | 5,090 | 3,546 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prior years (3) | (839 | ) | (258 | ) | (1,779 | ) | (581 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total claims and claims expenses incurred | 1,099 | 957 | 3,311 | 2,965 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Less claims paid: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Claims and claim expenses paid: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current year (2) | 37 | — | 37 | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prior years (3) | 890 | 157 | 1,742 | 720 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total claims and claim expenses paid | 927 | 157 | 1,779 | 720 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reserve at end of period, net of reinsurance recoverables | 8,391 | 4,949 | 8,391 | 4,949 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Add reinsurance recoverables (1) | 2,517 | 1,174 | 2,517 | 1,174 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ending balance | $ | 10,908 | $ | 6,123 | $ | 10,908 | $ | 6,123 |
(1) Related to ceded losses recoverable under the QSR Transactions, included in "Other Assets" on the Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets.
(2) Related to insured loans with their most recent defaults occurring in the current year. For example, if a loan had defaulted in a prior year and subsequently cured and later re-defaulted in the current year, that default would be included in the current year.
(3) Related to insured loans with defaults occurring in prior years, which have been continuously in default since that time.
The following table provides a reconciliation of the beginning and ending count of loans in default for the periods indicated.
For the three months ended | For the nine months ended | ||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2018 | September 30, 2017 | September 30, 2018 | September 30, 2017 | ||||||||||||||||||
Beginning default inventory | 768 | 249 | 928 | 179 | |||||||||||||||||
Plus: new defaults | 380 | 208 | 1,080 | 479 | |||||||||||||||||
Less: cures | (378 | ) | (103 | ) | (1,203 | ) | (292 | ) | |||||||||||||
Less: claims paid | (24 | ) | (4 | ) | (59 | ) | (16 | ) | |||||||||||||
Ending default inventory | 746 | 350 | 746 | 350 | |||||||||||||||||
The following table provides details of our claims paid, before giving effect to claims ceded under the 2016 QSR Transaction, for the periods indicated. No claims paid were ceded under the 2018 QSR Transaction during the periods indicated.
For the three months ended | For the nine months ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2018 | September 30, 2017 | September 30, 2018 | September 30, 2017 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In Thousands) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Number of claims paid (1) | 24 | 4 | 59 | 16 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total amount paid for claims | $ | 1,128 | $ | 160 | $ | 2,217 | $ | 731 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Average amount paid per claim (2) | $ | 49 | $ | 40 | $ | 41 | $ | 46 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Severity(3) | 80 | % | 73 | % | 76 | % | 83 | % |
(1) Count includes claims settled without payment.
(2) Calculation is net of claims settled without payment.
(3) Severity represents the total amount of claims paid divided by the related RIF on the loan at the time the claim is perfected.
The following table shows our average reserve per default, before giving effect to reserves ceded under the QSR Transactions, as of the periods indicated.
Average reserve per default: | As of September 30, 2018 | As of September 30, 2017 | |||||||||||||
(In Thousands) | |||||||||||||||
Case (1) | $ |
14 | $ |
16 | |||||||||||
IBNR | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Total | $ | 15 | $ | 17 |
(1) Defined as the gross reserve per insured loan in default.
The following table provides a comparison of the PMIERs financial requirements as reported by NMIC as of the dates indicated.
As of | |||||||||||||||
September 30, 2018 |
June 30, 2018 | September 30, 2017 | |||||||||||||
(In Thousands) | |||||||||||||||
Available assets | $ | 702,020 | $ | 653,080 | $ |
495,182 | |||||||||
Risk-based required assets | 398,975 | 587,235 | 356,207 | ||||||||||||
Source: NMI Holdings Inc